Tag Archives: search queries

The main advantage of web search as a prediction tool may have less to do with its superiority over other methods than with its generality, low cost, and real-time nature.

Posted on December 1, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

What Can Search Predict?

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Ask, Bing, forecast, forecasting, forecasts, Google, predicting, prediction, Predictions, Search Engines, search queries, search results, Yahoo! | Leave a comment

Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive than simply looking to the recent past of flu levels.

Posted on March 27, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via the ultra-demanding Bo Cowgill: Predictions from an autoregressive model outperform [flu] predictions based on search volume. So much for the too-hastily-trumpeted predictive power of Yahoo! and Google. Yet another wisdom-of-crowds hype that ends up down the toilet. And our … Continue reading →

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged flu, flu predictions, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Google, influenza, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, Search Engines, search queries, Yahoo! | 1 Comment

Tag Archives: search queries

The main advantage of web search as a prediction tool may have less to do with its superiority over other methods than with its generality, low cost, and real-time nature.

Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive than simply looking to the recent past of flu levels.

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