Tag Archives: Rudy Giuliani

JOE BIDEN ON RUDY GIULIANI: “Thereâ€™s only three things he mentions in a sentence —a noun, a verb, and 9/11. Thereâ€™s nothing else! Thereâ€™s nothing else! And I mean this sincerely. Heâ€™s genuinely not qualified to be president.”

Posted on August 23, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Excellent.

Posted in Humor, Politics | Tagged 9/11, Humor, Joe Biden, Rudy Giuliani | Leave a comment

Justin Wolfers on Rudy Giuliani = not convincing… yet

Posted on January 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Justin Wolfers investigated the Rudy Giuliani free-fall thru the prism of the InTrade prediction markets in the Wall Street Journal (PDF file). All told, prediction market data tend to confirm that Mr. Giuliani’s recent decline is due to a poor … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged John McCain, Justin Wolfers, New Hampshire, New York Times, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

Whom prediction market journalism should be aimed at?

Posted on January 24, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

My thoughts on Justin Wolfers’ WSJ output on Rudy Giuliani’s demise: He uses (and links to) the play-money WSJ prediction exchange, instead of InTrade (whose prices are actually at the heart, thru a cross-exchange market maker, of the WSJ prediction … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, Google, Jusitn Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Mount Everest, prediction market journalism, prediction market tool, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, Wall Street Journal | Leave a comment

The best headline of the day –post Michigan

Posted on January 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

From the Los Angeles Times: Ron Paul, Dr. No-body, beats Rudy and Fred –again. Well, he’s hanging in there. Not only that, but Rep. Ron Paul thumped two reputed Republican heavyweights in the Michigan primary — former Sen. Fred Thompson … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics | Tagged Caveat Bettor, Fred Thompson, free people and free markets, GOP, Los Angeles Times, mayor, Michigan, Mike Linksvayer, New York, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani, Tennessee | 1 Comment

2008′s Hillary Clinton = 2004′s Howard Dean

Posted on January 7, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

2008 US presidential elections Source: Dynamic, compound prediction market charts from InTrade — – Yahoo! News US Political Dashboard – Prediction Market Dashboard

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barak Obama, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hillary Clinton, Howard Dean, InTrade, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Politics, prediction markets, Rudy Giuliani, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections | Leave a comment

Electability of Hillary Clinton according to InTrade-TradeSports = 65%

Posted on December 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Eddy Elfenbein at Crossing Wall Street: I written about this topic before but one of the things I find fascinating about finance is how you can use markets for two items to create an â€œimplied marketâ€ for a third. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Crossing Wall Street, Eddy Elfenbein, electability, Finance, Ford, Gerald Ford, Hillary Clinton, InTrade, Jimmy Carter, prediction markets, Republican Party, Ronald Reagan, Rudy Giuliani, US political elections, US President, US presidential elections | 2 Comments

BOMBASTIC CLAIM: Today’s prediction markets are far from being efficient.

Posted on December 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

[The IEM prediction] markets were not even weakly efficient. — Hillary Clinton – IEM vs. Linguistic analysis of news articles Rudy Giuliani – IEM vs. Linguistic analysis of news articles — NEXT: Reading the Markets – Forecasting Prediction Markets By … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged Hillary Clinton, Iowa Electronic Markets, prediction markets, reading, Rudy Giuliani | Leave a comment

Has the media narrative turned against Hilary Clinton?

Posted on November 12, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

… asks UK blogger Mike Smithson, who concludes that… yes, the Hillary Clinton event derivatives are topping… and thus Mike Smithson commits to selling them short. If she gets the nomination but fails to win the overall race I get … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Politics | Tagged GBP, Hilary Clinton, Hillary Clinton, Iraq, media narrative, Mike Smithson, President, Rudy Giuliani, United Kingdom | 1 Comment

Rudy Giuliani: Urban Legend

Posted on July 11, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Rudy Giuliani: Urban Legend Video by The International Association of Firefighters

Posted in Politics | Tagged International Association of Firefighters, Rudy Giuliani | Leave a comment

Michael Bloomberg for US President??

Posted on July 3, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Michael Bloomberg to run as Independent in 2008 Previous: Under this hypothetical scenario, the money would support a targeted advertising campaign to sell an Electoral College strategy to voters. — The McLaughlin Group (MP4 file): MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Issue Four: Back … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Al Gore, Bill Clinton, California, Democratic candidate, electoral college, Fred Thompson, good and successful administrator, head, Hillary Clinton, Iraq, Lawrence O'Donnell, mayor, McLaughlin Group, Michael Bloomberg, Mike Bloomberg, New Jersey, New York, Pat Buchanan, Perot, Politics, President, Ralph Nader, Republican Party, Ross Perot, Rudy Giuliani, targeted advertising campaign, United States, US elections, US politics, US President, US presidential elections, USD, vice president, Winchester | Leave a comment