Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: New York Post

Playing fantasy sports is not gambling. The Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act includes a specific exemption for fantasy sports, provided the prizes are determined in advance and the imaginary teams don’t correspond to any real teams.

New York Post
I expect TradeSports and BetFair to join this industry, one day.
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Matt Drudge links to a NY Post story about InTrade’s VP prediction markets.

Drudge Report: GAMBLERS BET ON HILL & MITT FOR VEEP…
New York Post: GAMBLERS BET ON HILL & MITT FOR VEEP.
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New Product Innovation: Enterprise Prediction Markets Can Help.

Via the New York-based Yahoo! Research scientist who was video-interviewed by the New York Post, the other day; Teck-Hua Ho & Kay-Yut Chen:
New Product Blockbusters: The Magic and Science of Prediction Markets
Teck-Hua Ho & Kay-Yut Chen
50/1 (Fall 2007): 144-158
New product innovation is a strategic business activity that involves significant financial resources and managerial attention. [...]

Speculating on event derivative markets is not “investing”.

Ultra pertinent remark from the Club For Growth blogger:
[The New York Post video] is an informative video, but I want to quibble about two things. I view the term “investing” as the act of buying an asset with the hopes of it appreciating in value sometime in the future. Used correctly, you “invest” in a [...]

Video on InTrade’s political prediction markets

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Via Yahoo! Research scientist David Pennock (pictured in the video, with, in the background, a whiteboard full of complex mathematical equations, which impressed the young New York Post journalist)… this New York Post video (embedded just below).
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John Delaney’s statement that people (did he say “pundits” or “people”?…) were predicting a John Kerry victory in November [...]

Never talk when you can nod, and never nod when you can wink, and never write an e-mail because it’s death. You’re giving prosecutors all the evidence we need.

Dixit Eliot Spitzer, the then-New York attorney general.
Frightening.
New York Post
Reason magazine
ABC News
Wall Street Journal
Wall Street Journal
Slate
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Psstt… Somebody registered Client9.com just after news broke…

Eric Zitzewitz’s 10 minutes of fame

Turns out he has published a paper on Eliot Spitzer —PDF file.
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New York Post
New York Times
Wall Street Journal
Portfolio
ABC News
ABC News
Wall Street Journal
Wall Street Journal
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French President-Elect Nicolas Sarkozy (R) to Bo Cowgill (R) and all the other Yankees (Rs & Ds): YOU ARE MY FRIENDS.

Google’s Republican-leaning Bo Cowgill rejoices.
New York Post: OUR NEW AMI SALUTES AMERICA THE BEAUTIFUL
The Wall Street Journal: President Sarkozy

But don’t expect Sarkozy to revert Chirac’s “no” policy on the Iraq war.

ProTrade = The Jock Exchange, the first public stock market that trades in professional athletes??

Dominique Basulto, the extraordinary blogger who writes for Endless Innovation, sends me a couple of intriguing links.

New York Post (about Portfolio, the new business magazine I told you about on Sunday):
[...] One of the more riveting pieces was a Michael Lewis prediction about a sports stock market exchange in the near future, in which the [...]

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