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Tag Archives: Mike Smithson
The PoliticalBetting.com Appreciation Society @ FaceBook
The PoliticalBetting.com Appreciation Society @ FaceBook For Mike Smithson’s fanboys.
Posted in Resources - References
Tagged FaceBook, Mike Smithson, PoliticalBetting, PoliticalBetting.com
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Mike Smithson’s Political Betting is a success.
- Quality content. (I strongly disliked his coverage of the US primaries, though.) – A popular blog. – A vibrant community, who comments and meets. – A PageRank of 6/10 —probably en route to 7/10. – 776 feed subscribers at … Continue reading
Opening one’s mouth to say nothing
I am a big fan of Mike Smithson (Political Betting .com) usually, but his Op-Ed is the lamest thing I have ever read. Key finding of our British political pundit: check out reliable, primary, advanced indicators (i.e., good pollsters), and … Continue reading
Londoners (among them many faithful Midas Oracle readers) go voting today. Spot, in the first chart, that British political betting expert Mike Smithson serves some (IMPLIED) PROBABILITIES EXPRESSED IN PERCENTAGES to his readers —and not those fu***ng fractional odds, or those equally fu***ng digital / decimal odds.
- Boris Johnson, next mayor of London: – RELATED: BetFair’s “percentage vote share” prediction markets are illiquid, alas. – BetFair blog’s London page — Tabloid style. I don’t like it much. I think politics should be treated more seriously. Mike … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics
Tagged Bath, BetFair, Boris Johnson, Bristol, decimal odds, digital odds, elections, event derivative markets, event derivatives, fractional odds, Google, Ken Livingstone, London, mayor, Mike Robb, Mike Smithson, New York Times, percentages, prediction markets, probabilities
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BBC’s coverage of politics is dull like taxes, death and German sausages.
- – I’d go further than Mike Smithson (a British political betting blogger, and a former BBC News journalist). Not just US media. US blogs are vastly superior to UK blogs. Prediction market journalism manufactured in America will be highly … Continue reading
Posted in Prediction Journalism
Tagged America, BBC, Mike Smithson, News journalist, Politics, United Kingdom, United States
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“I am much more aligned with InTrade than you are, Chris.”
That came from a margin trader [*] and prediction market blogger. Well, if you practice (amateur or professional) journalism (which blogging is), then I don’t see how you can be interesting to your audience if you are “aligned” with one … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Prediction Journalism
Tagged blogging, Cav, Caveat Bettor, designer, event derivative markets, event derivatives, executive, great amateur prediction market journalist, independence, institution designer, Journalism, margin trader, Mike Smithson, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, web editor
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Mike Smithson says that one “impersonator” (that is, someone pretending to be Mike Smithson) published comments on the PoliticalBetting.com thread about the London political elections, giving false exit poll information, in order to influence the “betting prices” (which I understand, partially, at least, if not fully, as the BetFair and Betdaq prices).
Starting now, his blog will only publish comments from already approved commenters —comments from brand-new commenters will have to be manually approved. We have had this procedure in place on Midas Oracle for some time, now. -