Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: malaria

Subsidizing real-money prediction markets and real-money conditional prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on August 5, 2008 — 2 Comments

Should Google subsidize the Lunar X Prize contract on InTrade?
John Salvatier,
Our good friend Bo Cowgill might have already re-created those prediction markets on Google’s internal prediction exchange at a marginal cost of zero US dollar. No need for him to “subsidize” external prediction markets.
[As an appendix, I precise that I am in favor of opening [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Philanthropy | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Some global warming updates from GISS

Written by Caveat Bettor on August 29, 2007 — Leave a Comment

Intrade (or any prediction exchange wanting to compete), please list global warming contracts!
The information will probably end up saving lives, as we can more efficiently allocate finite resources to global warming research and reduction (vs. preventative healthcare, disease control, micro loans, etc.). For instance, we spend a lot of money on the AIDS pandemic in [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Science | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

New York Times’ Maureen Dowd laughs in Paul Wolfowitz’s face.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 20, 2007 — Leave a Comment

New York Times’ Maureen Dowd is helping Paul Wolfowitz building his new résumé:
Work Experience
President of World Bank: 2005-2007
Responsibilities: Reining in European lefties, raining tax-free money on Arab girlfriend, and giving anti-corruption efforts a bad name.
Achievements: Paralyzed the international lending apparatus to the point where small countries had to max out their Visa cards to pay [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Also tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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