Tag Archives: Jesse Livermore

Prediction market blogger quits InTrade.

Posted on January 5, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Ben Shannon: New Year Update Posted by Jesse Livermore on Sunday, January 3, 2010 I’ve been gone for a while. There just hasn’t been that much happening on Intrade, and I’ve been focusing on neuroscience. Intrade has definitely gotten tougher … Continue reading →

Posted in Business, Exchange & Market Management, Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Prediction Journalism | Tagged Ben Shannon, betting markets, blogging, event derivative markets, InTrade, Jesse Livermore, prediction market blogging, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Ben Shannon’s bad Corzine bet.

Posted on November 4, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Ben Shannon (who blogs as “Jesse Livermore” at “Wiser Than The Crowd”) did bet on Jon Corzine — “buying around 65-68″, at the end of October 2009. Bad bet. Once again.

Posted in Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged Ben Shannon, Bet, bets, Betting, Jesse Livermore, Jon Corzine, prediction, Predictions, predicton markets, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Jesse Livermore’s 7 Trading Lessons

Posted on November 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jesse Livermore‘s Seven Trading Lessons: The late Jesse Livermore is considered one of the bestâ€„traders of all time. His exploits have been chronicled in several books, with the most widely read being Reminiscences of a Stock Operator by Edwin Lefevre, … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance | Tagged 7 Trading Lessons, Finance, Financial Markets, investing, Jesse Livermore, Seven Trading Lessons, speculating, trading | Leave a comment

After losing $6,000 on Chicago, Ben Shannon gives up on prediction market blogging.

Posted on October 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Ben Shannon: [] I’m not sure how much benefit I get from running this blog. I haven’t really made any money on Intrade since starting the blog this spring. In retrospect, at least part of my motivation for making the … Continue reading →

Posted in Business & Economic Models, Prediction Journalism | Tagged Ben Shannon, Betting, betting blogging, betting journalism, business models, Jesse Livermore, prediction market blogging, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Midas Oracle is the only website in the world to have told you not to bet on Chicago —and to stay (far) away from any Olympics venue prediction market.

Posted on October 5, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Previously: Will Chicago get the Olympics? Donâ€™t bet on it. Too risky. Had Ben Shannon listened to us, he would have spared $6,000 —yes, that’s six thousand US dollars. Next: Could we have divined that Chicago was a lemon?

Posted in Money | Tagged 2016 Summer Olympics, accuracy, Ben Shannon, Chicago, International Olympic Committee, IOC, Jesse Livermore, Olympics, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Why an analyst should assess each newly created prediction market

Posted on October 3, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The Chicago candidacy, which was favored by the prediction markets (and gullible bettors like Ben Shannon), is the one that fared the worst. As we have blogged here many times, not every prediction market is created equal. Some are bound … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2016 Summer Olympics, accuracy, Ben Shannon, Bet, BetFair, bets, betting markets, Chicago, event derivative markets, forecasts, HubDub, International Olympic Committee, InTrade, IOC, Jesse Livermore, Olympics, prediction markets, Predictions, Wiser Than The Crowd | 4 Comments

Chicago won’t have the Olympics in 2016.

Posted on October 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

The Chicago candidacy, which was favored by the prediction markets (and bettors like Ben Shannon), is the one that fared the worst. I TOLD YOU SO: – “Will Chicago get the Olympics? Donâ€™t bet on it. Too risky.“ – The … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged 2016 Summer Olympics, accuracy, Ben Shannon, Bet, BetFair, bets, betting markets, Chicago, event derivative markets, forecasts, HubDub, International Olympic Committee, InTrade, IOC, Jesse Livermore, Olympics, prediction markets, Predictions, Wiser Than The Crowd | Leave a comment

Will Chicago get the Olympics? Don’t bet on it. Too risky. — 2016 Summer Olympics in Chicago — 2016 Olympics Predictions

Posted on September 29, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Will Ben Shannon finish in slip? Or will he win at the Olympics lottery? Ben Shannon has taken a big bet on Chicago. Best wishes to him. (We hope he will be more successful than his latest stock market call, … Continue reading →