Tag Archives: Jack Shafer

ENDLESS VEEPSTAKES: Why you should never trade on VP prediction markets, and why their probabilistic predictions are as stochastic as Paris Hilton’s daily dress picks.

Posted on August 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As I explained in early June 2008, the VP speculations that appear in the Press should never be taken seriously. Most of them (and you don’t know which ones) are a big orchestration of pure lies aimed at creating publicity, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Calls), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged 2008 US elections, 2008 US presidential elections, Barack Obama, Caveat Bettor, event derivative markets, event derivatives, HubDub, InTrade, Jack Shafer, Joe Biden, John McCain, Justin Wolfers, Kathleen Sebelius, Politics, prediction market analysis, prediction market analysts, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, Tim Kaine, US elections, US politics, US presidential elections, vice presidential candidate prediction markets, VP-candidate prediction markets | 5 Comments

The John Edwards Non-Affair… is making Memeorandum (twice), again.

Posted on July 24, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Slate’s Jack Shafer (my favorite libertarian journalist –both small “L” and capitalized “L”): [...] visiting the woman who recently gave birth to the out-of-wedlock child of a married campaign aide is completely OK. But meeting her at a Beverly Hills … Continue reading →

Posted in Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills hotel, Jack Shafer, John Edwards, journalist, married campaign aide, Mickey Klaus, National Enquirer, Rielle Hunter, Slate | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: Jack Shafer

ENDLESS VEEPSTAKES: Why you should never trade on VP prediction markets, and why their probabilistic predictions are as stochastic as Paris Hilton’s daily dress picks.

The John Edwards Non-Affair… is making Memeorandum (twice), again.

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