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Tag Archives: Gordon Brown
The election night on BetFair – [CHART]
UK’s General Election 2010:
Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Post-Mortem
Tagged conservatives, David Cameron, Gordon Brown, Great Britain, Labour, Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg, Politics, Tories, UK politics, UK's General Election 2010, United Kingdom
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All 3 British political leaders fell for the global warming scam.
Solar activity and cosmic rays drive the Earth’s climate. Global warming due to human-produced CO2 is the biggest scientific imposture of all times. These 3 political leaders are all wrong.
Posted in Politics
Tagged carbon, climate change, CO2, conservatives, Earth, energy, environment, global warming, Gordon Brown, Great Britain, James Cameron, Labour, Lib Dems, Liberal Democrats, Nick Clegg, Planet Earth, Politics, Tories, UK politics, United Kingdom
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The URLs of the UK’s General Election 2010
http://politics.betfair.com/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_2010 Gordon Brown’s gaffe (“bigoted woman”, Gillian Duffy):
Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Predictions - Forecasts
Tagged BetFair, betting markets, bigoted woman, event derivative markets, Gillian Duffy, Gordon Brown, Great Britain, Politics, prediction markets, Predictions, UK politics, UK's General Election 2010, United Kingdom
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Odds on hung parliament in UK shorten after TV debate
So what effect did the UK‘s first ever televised prime ministerial debate featuring Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Nick Clegg have on the political betting market? Before the debate, the betting market on Betfair regarding who if anybody would secure … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Predictions - Forecasts
Tagged BetFair, betting markets, conservatives, David Cameron and Nick Clegg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Gordon Brown, Great Britain, Labour, Lib Dems, Liberal Democrats, Politics, prediction markets, Tories, UK politics, UK's 2010 General Election, United Kingdom
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Hubdub Hot Predictions This Week
Hubdub’s Hot Predictions this week, as decided by Hubdub users and staff, are selected based on their newsworthiness for the week. These stories are bound to be big news this week – and we have forecasts on how they’re likely … Continue reading
Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged air crash, air france flight 447, airbus a330, black box, Brazil, Britain, conservatives, david carradine, Gordon Brown, HubDub, la lakers, labor, National Basketball Association, NBA, orlando magic, playoffs, prediction markets, resignation
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The British prime minister will leave office this month —dixit the BetFair traders.
Gordon Brown to leave office before the end of June 2009: Addendum: To the despair of both Prof Panos and Wiser Than The Crowd, here is a link back to the recent “failures” of the prediction markets.
Excerpts of the BetFair’s answers to their traders’ questions
About the new bet-matching logic: It’s not clear why you believe that the majority of those customers who use Betfair’s forum are unhappy about the introduction of the improved matching logic. The sport this will most significantly benefit is football … Continue reading
A big YES to insider trading on prediction markets
Mike Smithson publishes info showing UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s decision to call off a general election was known to some bettors before that decision was made public. And he concludes: One of the risks of political betting is that … Continue reading
Yes, Virginia, BetFair does organize socially valuable prediction markets in UK politics.
Mike Smithson’s effort is paying off. Here are the BetFair political prediction markets: Cabinet Exit Dates Chancellor Foreign Secretary Home Secretary Cabinet Specials Next Chancellor Next Foreign Secretary Next Home Secretary Next Prime Minister Leader Exit Dates David Cameron Gordon … Continue reading
We won’t have any UK political elections anytime soon.
Wall Street Journal $$$: Prime Minister Gordon Brown ruled out calling an early election Saturday, ending weeks of speculation that he would soon seek a stronger mandate from the electorate. Mike Smithson of PolitcalBetting.com will have to be patient. — … Continue reading