Tag Archives: Google Trends

Could Google Have Caught Swine Flu (a.k.a. Mexican Flu, or H1N1) Early?

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Predicting the Present with Google Trends

Predicting the Present with Google Trends – (PDF file) – by Al Varian et al. Google Trends + Google Insights For Search Via Prof Levitt Previously: Flu predictions based on querying behavior (on Google and Yahoo!) are somewhat less impressive … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Forecasting (Science & Practice), The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Flu prediction markets can correct Google Flu Trends.

2 practicing physicians laugh at using collective intelligence for nation-wide flu detection: [...] Flu Trends tracks almost perfectly with data on influenzalike illnesses that the CDC obtains from doctors’ offices. And as an added bonus, Flu Trends detects outbreaks up … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Market Proposals), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Humor, Information Technology, Inventions & Innovations, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Google vs. Prediction Markets — Which of the 2 will detect the flu, first?

An Irish research team hopes to make accurate forecasts of key public health indicators. University College Cork (UCC) School of Medicine + Intrade Dr Dylan Evans: Prediction markets are [specialized], small-scale financial markets operated to predict future events. The idea … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Philanthropy, Resources - References, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Google Trends, as seen by Jason Carver

That smart young man (well, smarter than I am, at least) configured Google Trends so we can make comparisons between TradeSports, InTrade, BetFair and the keyword “prediction markets”. – With BetFair: – Without BetFair: -

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Google Trends of TradeSports, InTrade, BetFair, and “prediction markets”

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Who needs the Iowa Health Prediction Exchange anymore now that we have Google Flu Trends?

- Google Flu Trends – Iowa Health Prediction Market – BBC New York Times WSJ Health blog -

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Information Technology | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Monitor the web traffic of TradeSports.com, InTrade.com, BetFair.com, Betdaq.com, NewsFutures.com, HubDub.com, etc. —thanks to Google Trends.

Via Matt Cutts Google Trends for Websites – TradeSports.com InTrade.com BetFair.com Betdaq.com NewsFutures.com HubDub.com etc. – UPDATE: Click on this SAI story to have the laugh of your life…!!!… -

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Spot the red line. The future of prediction market journalism is on blogs —not on dead-tree media. (((Well, all dead-tree media have blogs, now.)))

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