Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: franc

Prediction markets = “the future of journalism” —said, from day one, Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures. Emile, if you have balls, let’s do it —all together.

My yesterday’s post about the Obama–Clinton prediction markets was the most popular Midas Oracle story of that Monday. Hummmm… No idea why… I was not helped by Google Search or by an external blogger. Sounds like our Midas Oracle web readers and feed subscribers liked it … for some reasons I have yet to discover [...]

Robin Hanson teaches Chris Masse how to make a bad CFTC compromise.

The unrepentant Robin Hanson:
Chris, you’ve heard of Christmas I presume. Many people circulate lists of items they might like for Christmas. If you did, would you circulate a list of million franc/dollar gift ideas for people to give you? Would you consider that list more honest/logical than a list of gifts of roughly the [...]

Technology Prizes & Prediction Markets

ABC7 Futures Market: Will the $25 million dollar reward for developing something that will extract greenhouse gases be handed out in the next 5 years?

Virgin Earth Challenge:
The Virgin Earth Challenge is a prize of $25m for whoever can demonstrate to the judges’ satisfaction a commercially viable design which results in the removal of anthropogenic, atmospheric [...]

Search

Post Categories