Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: food

David Servan-Schreiber on anti-cancer food – [VIDEO]

Emile’s bro is on an crucial crusade —battling cancer. Eating the right things helps a lot.

Food, Inc. — Yet another movie for Lance Fortnow’s eco-daughter

Food, Inc.
YouTube – Official Trailer (which those idiots made un-embeddable)
Unofficial trailers (posted on YouTube by “pirates”):

Previously: Download HOME, Yann Arthus-Bertrand’s film — The Earth From Above

eLab eXchange Web of Misery – Which Online Indicators of Distress Will Grow Most?

The eLab eXchange has just opened “The Web of Misery,” a competitive forecasting tournament hosted by Newsfutures, with 10 markets that reflect new online indicators of economic distress. Come and give it your best shot – forecast just how bad you think the economy is going to get in the next few months! One [...]

The Google enterprise prediction markets… meet an informed skeptic.

Kent’s Imperative (Dedicated to the pursuit of professionalization in the art & science of intelligence and the literature of intelligence):
[...] We are thus grateful to the folks at Google, along with coauthors from NBER and Dartmouth, for publishing some of the first real results of their internal prediction market. The study covers nearly three years [...]

The Collateral Damages of Growing BioFuel

Two things I heard this morning on the radio:

Now, half of the corn cultivated in the US is for biofuel. Abroad, we see the same trend: more and more crops end up in gas tanks. The result of that is that is that the price of food has gone up for the Earth’s poors. The [...]

Guy Kawasaki’s applied advice to the Web 2.0 entrepreneurs

Guy Kawasaki:
Here’s the bottom line: Whether Truemors succeeds or not, I learned a helluva lot. One thing is for sure: no entrepreneur can tell me that he needs $1 million, four programmers, and six months to launch this kind of company. With products like WordPress, MySQL, and Salesforce platform, things are a whole lot cheaper [...]

The Economist’s Project Red Stripe: Turning The Economist Into An Economy

The Economist’s Project Red Stripe:
[...] Perhaps the most intriguing ideas are those suggesting The Economist should create its own private currency, which subscribers could use to make bets on prediction or other markets. Simon Stuart, for instance, suggests that every Economist subscriber receive one thousand Economist dollars per year to trade. This triggered another thought [...]

BetFair, Sim Exchange = Vertical Prediction Exchanges, First

The Sim Exchange’s founder (Brian Shiau):
Chris [Masse] speculated on whether the simExchange will become a more generalist exchange, like BetFair, which began as a horseracing market before transforming into a general prediction market.
The simExchange is indeed exploring the possibility of expanding beyond traditional console and PC games, such as the immediately close tangent of downloaded [...]

Technology Prizes & Prediction Markets

ABC7 Futures Market: Will the $25 million dollar reward for developing something that will extract greenhouse gases be handed out in the next 5 years?

Virgin Earth Challenge:
The Virgin Earth Challenge is a prize of $25m for whoever can demonstrate to the judges’ satisfaction a commercially viable design which results in the removal of anthropogenic, atmospheric [...]

Foresight Exchange’s experimental (play-money) prediction market

I have been reading with great attention The Brain’s last blog post (Yootle interest rates and inflation), and I noticed a link to the Foresight Exchange (under the anchor text, “Foresight’s market rate has traded roughly between 3% and 0.5%”):
FX Claim T2007
Claim T2007 – True on Jan 1 2007
Category: Science & Technology:Idea Futures (and Experimental [...]

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