Tag Archives: enterprise prediction markets

After years of pretending being a prediction market consultant, Robin Hanson finally confesses nobody has ever cared about his stuff. — [LINK]

The Emperor of enterprise prediction markets is naked. Robin Hanson: I can confirm that this disinterest is real. For example, when I try to sell firms on internal prediction markets wherein employees forecast things like sales and project completion dates, … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Technology Review publishes an uncritical article on collective forecasting used in business. – {CrowdCast}

How Bets Among Employees Can Guide a Company’s Future – Internal prediction markets enable colleagues to wager on the fate of crucial projects and the success of products in the pipeline. – Technology Review

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

If prediction markets are such a powerful tool, then why aren’t we able to use them to solve [INSERT YOUR FAVORITE WORLD PROBLEM HERE]?

Justin Wolfers is asked the question, but I would have a different answer than his. The reason prediction markets are not widely used in business is that their many boosters (Robin Hanson, James Surowiecki, Justin Wolfers, etc.) have exaggerated their … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Prediction Markets = Social Business Intelligence

Good article about CrowdCast.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

CrowdCast’s Leslie Fine talks about “the cloud and the crowd”.

22 into.

Posted in Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

MAT FOGARTY FOR PRESIDENT

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

CrowdCast + SAP

Business Objects + Prediction Markets

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchange & Market Management, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Truth in Advertising – Meet Prediction Markets

Most published papers on prediction markets (there aren’t many) paint a wildly rosy picture of their accuracy. Perhaps it is because many of these papers are written by researchers having affiliations with prediction market vendors. Robin Hanson is Chief Scientist … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Hyping enterprise prediction markets in Mashable

Matt Fogarty of CrowdCast: Business leaders rely on metrics and data to inform decisions around new products and opportunities, but traditional forecasting methods suffer from bias and lack of first-hand information. That’s why business forecasting is an ideal target for … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

CrowdCast is an enterprise software platform that helps companies make better forecasts by tapping the knowledge stored in their employees.

Interview Download this post to watch the video —if your feed reader does not show it to you.

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment