Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: decison-aid markets

Futarchy Lite 2008

Written by Mike Linksvayer on November 3, 2008 — 3 Comments

Below is a copy of a post yesterday on my personal blog. First, a couple asides for Midas Oracle readers.
After 2008
Two of Peter McCluskey’s four sets of contracts produced interesting results while all of Polimetrics’ were duds. (Not complaining; I’ll take the successes.) What should we take from this, other than a subsidy being helpful? [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Exchange & Market Designs, Exchanges & Markets, Market Charting System, Market Makers (Automated), Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , ,

Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 8, 2008 — 1 Comment

Via our good friend Mike Linksvayer: — Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets — Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets
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My good Doctor Robin Hanson,
Please, refresh my memory:
- Are your experimental, conditional prediction markets offered by the Iowa Electronic Markets or by InTrade Ireland?
Additional question for our Master Of All Universes:
- Who has done more for [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged , , , , , , , ,

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