Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: decison-aid markets

Futarchy Lite 2008

Below is a copy of a post yesterday on my personal blog. First, a couple asides for Midas Oracle readers.
After 2008
Two of Peter McCluskey’s four sets of contracts produced interesting results while all of Polimetrics’ were duds. (Not complaining; I’ll take the successes.) What should we take from this, other than a subsidy being helpful? [...]

Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets

Via our good friend Mike Linksvayer: — Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets — Implied Prices for Presidential Decision-Aid Markets
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My good Doctor Robin Hanson,
Please, refresh my memory:
- Are your experimental, conditional prediction markets offered by the Iowa Electronic Markets or by InTrade Ireland?
Additional question for our Master Of All Universes:
- Who has done more for [...]

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