Tag Archives: David Pennock

Mystery wrapped in a riddle inside an enigma — [BUG]

Why David Pennock’s The Signal doesn’t serve any RSS feed? UPDATE: Fixed, it was a bug.

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Knowns and unknowns of the 2012 presidential elections — [LINK]

“We gather information from a variety of sources (some of which are themselves information aggregators), including prediction markets, polls, web search, social activity, games, and historical precedent, and combine it together to produce a Consensus Prediction that is as unbiased, … Continue reading

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Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]

http://corporate.crowdpark.com/ http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/

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The prediction market ideology still lives on. — [COMMENT]

David Pennock: Not to put too much faith into the unscientific Gartner hype cycle, but it does feel like a time of backlash responding to some early over optimism. As cooler heads prevail, and the technology speaks for itself, I … Continue reading

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David Pennock agrees that snubbing BetFair was a mistake. — [COMMENT]

David Pennock: Due to gambling laws and stigma, the PM industry has tried to distance itself from gambling, betfair, etc., probably mistakenly.

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Did the prediction market industry fail because of the lack of usability of the prediction markets? — [REBUTTAL]

David Pennock: I like an analogy of Playstation versus Wii. Just like Wii opened up video gaming to a mass audience including women, I think there’s room for simpler/friendlier sites like smarkets that can open up gambling to a much … Continue reading

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David Pennock on the state of the prediction market industry — [LINK]

Prediction markets offer: Accountability Meritocracy A marketplace to reward information release Real-time updates Accuracy Increasing ease of use, as the technology matures and diffuses Self funding

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David Pennock on Predictalot — [LINK]

… in Freakonomics.

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

PREDICTALOT IS THE LARGEST PREDICTION EXCHANGE CREATED BY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES (9.2 QUINTILLION). — [LINK]

http://predictalot.yahoo.com/ Predictalot on FaceBook. David Pennock: I believe it’s the largest prediction market created by number of outcomes (9.2 quintillion). We’re approximating a #P-hard problem to get the odds. More here. I believe v0.3 is faster and easier to use … Continue reading

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If you just wait long enough, everything happens.

David Pennock on Twitter. Reminder: Midas Oracle on Twitter.

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