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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: David Pennock
Mystery wrapped in a riddle inside an enigma — [BUG]
Why David Pennock’s The Signal doesn’t serve any RSS feed? UPDATE: Fixed, it was a bug.
Knowns and unknowns of the 2012 presidential elections — [LINK]
“We gather information from a variety of sources (some of which are themselves information aggregators), including prediction markets, polls, web search, social activity, games, and historical precedent, and combine it together to produce a Consensus Prediction that is as unbiased, … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Politics, Prediction Journalism, Resources - References
Tagged 2012 presidential elections, blogs, certainty, David Pennock, David Rothschild, democrats, Internet sites, Politics, Prediction Journalism, probabilities, references, republicans, resources, sites, The Signal, uncertainty, US politics, Yahoo!, Yahoo! News, Yahoo! Research
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Is research scientist David Pennock easily impressed? — [TEST IT FOR YOURSELF]
http://corporate.crowdpark.com/ http://blog.oddhead.com/2011/05/11/crowdpark-review/
The prediction market ideology still lives on. — [COMMENT]
David Pennock: Not to put too much faith into the unscientific Gartner hype cycle, but it does feel like a time of backlash responding to some early over optimism. As cooler heads prevail, and the technology speaks for itself, I … Continue reading
David Pennock agrees that snubbing BetFair was a mistake. — [COMMENT]
David Pennock: Due to gambling laws and stigma, the PM industry has tried to distance itself from gambling, betfair, etc., probably mistakenly.
Did the prediction market industry fail because of the lack of usability of the prediction markets? — [REBUTTAL]
David Pennock: I like an analogy of Playstation versus Wii. Just like Wii opened up video gaming to a mass audience including women, I think there’s room for simpler/friendlier sites like smarkets that can open up gambling to a much … Continue reading
Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets
Tagged BetFair, betting markets, David Pennock, event derivative markets, event derivatives, InTrade, InTrade-TradeSports, James Surowiecki, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, prediction market industry, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, The Sporting Exchange, TradeSports
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David Pennock on the state of the prediction market industry — [LINK]
Prediction markets offer: Accountability Meritocracy A marketplace to reward information release Real-time updates Accuracy Increasing ease of use, as the technology matures and diffuses Self funding
PREDICTALOT IS THE LARGEST PREDICTION EXCHANGE CREATED BY NUMBER OF OUTCOMES (9.2 QUINTILLION). — [LINK]
http://predictalot.yahoo.com/ Predictalot on FaceBook. David Pennock: I believe it’s the largest prediction market created by number of outcomes (9.2 quintillion). We’re approximating a #P-hard problem to get the odds. More here. I believe v0.3 is faster and easier to use … Continue reading
Posted in Exchange & Market Designs, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Mechanism Designs
Tagged bets, Betting, betting exchanges, betting markets, David Pennock, derivative exchanges, event derivative exchanges, event derivative markets, event derivatives, exchanges, FaceBook, futures exchanges, March Madness, play-money betting markets, play-money prediction markets, Predictalot, prediction exchanges, prediction markets, Yahoo!
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If you just wait long enough, everything happens.
David Pennock on Twitter. Reminder: Midas Oracle on Twitter.