Tag Archives: California

Oops.

Look at the right end of the chart: – -

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets. – The Forrester executive summary: The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Science comes to the rescue of the “leading academics” suffering lapses of memory —those who, on Monday, signed on to be on the board of the Prediction Market Industry Association, which is supposed to lobby for the legalization of InTrade’s real-money prediction markets in the United States of America —and, on the next Tuesday, signed Bob’s puritan and sterile petition.

CX717 = “memory pills” US scientists have invented a pill that can boost memory. – Invented by Dr Gary Lynch from the University of California. – - John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Humor, Science | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

COMMENTS TO THE CFTC: What to expect from Tom W. Bell and Jason Ruspini

For those who are just surfacing from an Afghan cave: Tom W. Bell is a law professor at Chapman University (in California) and Jason Ruspini is a Wall Street professional (in New York). – It seems that both will, independently … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 9 Comments

Let Prediction Markets Fight Terrorism.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)’s recent request for comments about the regulation of prediction markets includes a number of specific questions. I am not sure whether I will manage to write up answers to all of them before the … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 22 Comments

The best research papers on prediction markets

As seen by Andreas Graefe… IIF’s SIG on Prediction Markets Research Papers Basics Several studies explain the concept of prediction markets and provide useful summaries of the method, e.g. – Spann, M. & Skiera, B. (2003). Internet-based Virtual Stock Markets … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Market Efficiency), Analysis (Meta), Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

Posted in People, Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Short list of the economics labs researching on prediction markets

Labs (with thanks to Chris Hibbert of Zocalo) – - Iowa Electronic Markets – (IEM) – (Henry B. Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa, Iowa, U.S.A.) Interdisciplinary Center for Economic Science – (ICES) – (George Mason University, Virginia, U.S.A.) … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Where to find advice on how to set up your enterprise prediction markets

Consultants – - Inkling – URL: Inkling Markets – (Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.) Adam Siegel — Post Archives at Midas Oracle Nathan Kontny – NewsFutures – (Maryland, U.S.A. & Paris, France, E.U.) Emile Servan-Schreiber — Post Archives at Midas Oracle Maurice … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Consulting | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

John McCain’s grumpy old pal writes to Bo Cowgill’s boss.

Joe Lieberman: May 19, 2008 Dr. Eric Schmidt Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer Google, Inc. 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway Mountain View, CA 94043 Dear Dr. Schmidt: YouTube is being used to share videos produced by al-Qaeda and other … Continue reading

Posted in Ethics, Politics, The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment