Tag Archives: BusinessWeek

Inkling Markets in BusinessWeek

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Forecasting Principles should index BusinessWeek.

Andreas Graefe, Please, index the BusinessWeek news article (see the page #2, too) on your IIF webpage. – I believe it’s an Earth-shattering piece featuring major thinkers of the field of prediction markets, who were interviewed by that bright journalist … Continue reading

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What I said to BusinessWeek

BusinessWeek’s Ricky McRoskey: Experts expect the initial reaction to CFTC regulation to be more low-cap, nonprofit markets like the one created by the University of Iowa. Some doubt the forecasting power in these small-scale markets, since there wouldn’t be enough … Continue reading

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What Robin Hanson told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

Robin Hanson: Date: Mon, 07 Jul 2008 10:12:46 -0400 To: secretary@cftc.gov From: Robin Hanson <rhanson@gmu.edu> Subject: Comment on “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts” —————————————————————- I am an event market innovator, having published the first detailed … Continue reading

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Are US-based real-money prediction exchanges to become federally regulated (as DCMs)? Or semi-regulated (as ECMs, or as exchanges covered by “no-action” letters)?

BusinessWeek: In its request for comment, the CFTC reminded the public that the commission should “promote innovation for futures and derivatives.” It also added that —hint, hint— the Iowa markets have been valuable sources of public information and have predicted … Continue reading

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