Tag Archives: Bob Barr

Analysis of Barr and Nader 2008 Intrade contracts

I’ve used the Bob Barr contracts at Intrade to poke fun at the totally unrealistic expectations of Libertarian Party advocates (a couple times at Midas Oracle), so here’s a brief (and completely amateur) analysis of those contracts (and Nader contracts), … Continue reading

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , | 3 Comments

Bob Barr markets

Reason, a libertarian periodical, writes that the Bob Barr effect is “confirmed.” Because Obama’s campaign manager says it is. Yes, pathetically a pro-market publication heeds the remarks of a political operative rather than markets that say Bob Barr will not … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Bob Barr candidacy fails market test.

Yesterday at about 5:30PM EDT the Libertarian Party (U.S.) nominated ex-Congressperson Bob Barr for U.S. President. Barr’s nomination does not appear to have been certain — it took five rounds of voting, including two rounds where he tied for first … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments