Meta
-
Recent Posts
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
- Why Samsung is no Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney @ Bain Capital — [VIDEO]
- Central banks should set up prediction markets. — [LINK]
- Max Keiser on NADEX — [VIDEO]
- New Hampshire prediction markets screwed up political forecasting in 2008. Will they be right this time? — [CHARTS]
- The real reasons why prediction markets are accurate. — [LINK]
- Much better than a bike… and more affordable than a SegWay… –> The Me-Mover — [VIDEO]
- InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]
- Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [SCREENSHOT]
- BetFair’s glitch ruins a set of £23m prediction markets. — [LINKS]
Monthly Archives: March 2010
OSCARS 2010: Did Justin Wolfers brag too much and too loudly? — [RELATIVE ACCURACY DEPARTMENT]
Jason (a Freakonomics reader): You are giving yourself WAY too much credit. Siskel and Ebert successfully predict these awards 100% year after year. This isn’t a difficult thing to predict. Predicting something like the NCAA tourney, that would be an … Continue reading
Here’s the man who would deliver a wise analysis on whether the InTrade HCR PM is being manipulated or traded by “DC insiders”.
Previously: Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health care reform?
Posted in People
Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, InTrade, Koleman Strumpf, prediction markets
Leave a comment
Health care reform is down to 47% at InTrade. –> Toss a coin, it will get you the same.
So much for the “insider trading” who signaled the certainty of the adoption of the new health care reform bill. Joe Weisenthal swallowed InTrade CEO’s marketing bait. More on Memeorandum. Previously: Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading, Prediction Journalism
Tagged betting markets, Business Insider, event derivative markets, health care reform, insider trading, InTrade, Joe Weisenthal, Journalism, Politics, Prediction Journalism, prediction market journalism, prediction markets, US politics
1 Comment
Business Insider readers are rather skeptical of the InTrade insider trading story.
Many are critical. Read. Plus, the event derivative is back to 55% [UPDATE: 47%] —slightly above tossing a coin. Here’s The Hill on the prospect for the bill. – More on Memeorandum. Previously: Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market … Continue reading
Any people from BetFair’s marketing department?
Got an idea I’d like to discuss with some higher-up in BetFair’s marketing department. Would you mind contacting me. Thanks.
Humoristic factoid of the day…
Oh, my Gosh… David Pennock is from Pittsburgh…!!!… Fortune’s Stanley Bing did a piece on how dull Pittsburgh is, a decade ago, but I can’t find it on the Net. P.S.: I went thru Pittsburgh’s airport, one day, but I … Continue reading
Insider trading in the InTrade prediction market on health care reform?
InTrade CEO John Delaney: …it is a reasonably active market but atypically a lot of the trade is coming from the DC area when normally we might see trade coming from all the major urban areas. ADDENDUM: For your information, … Continue reading
French bozo economist David Thesmar is hiding his 2007 Op-Ed that stated that the financial crisis “won’t happen”.
David Thesmar is a man of minutiae. He runs a website at his glory that lists any paper, book or editorial he has penned. Except for one. Our French smart ass co-wrote an Op-Ed in July 2007, titled, “The mega-crash … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Finance, The Global Economy
Tagged David Thesmar, Economics, economists, Ethics, financial crisis
Leave a comment
French bozo economist Augustin Landier is hiding his 2007 Op-Ed that stated that the financial crisis “won’t happen”.
Augustin Landier is a man of minutiae. He runs a website at his glory that lists any paper, book or editorial he has penned. Except for one. Our French smart ass co-wrote an Op-Ed in July 2007, titled, “The mega-crash … Continue reading
Posted in Ethics, Finance, The Global Economy
Tagged Augustin Landier, Economics, economists, Ethics, financial crisis
Leave a comment