Monthly Archives: March 2009

Combinatorial Prediction Markets — David Pennock Edition

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

ACM: [...] Prediction markets are gaining interest because the Internet allows greater worldwide access to them, as well as to the ever-increasing amount of data stored on any topic imaginable (which theoretically allows participants to make more informed predictions, individually … Continue reading →

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Internet betting and prediction markets on the Apple iPhone and the Google Android

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

I watched the Apple event introducing the iPhone 3.0 —the new version of the operating system for the smart phone. (The competitor is the Google Android, caressed by the innocent mister Cowgill.) We have now 2 different ecosystems for people … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Betting, Exchanges & Markets, Information Technology, Internet Usability, Inventions & Innovations, Resources - References, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Statistician and econometrician Nate Silver is going to write up a book on… SUSPENSE, SUSPENSE… not on statistics, not on econometrics… on prediction markets.

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Via the unjustly suspected mister Cowgill, the LAT: [Nate] Silver is now at a crossroads, trying to decide what to do with his newfound fame. He’s about to leave Chicago, where he now lives, and move to New York, and … Continue reading →

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Scrutinizing InTrade’s financial statement for 2008 — Part II

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jesse Livermore (a pseudo): More Intrade Financials I paid 7.50 euros to see Intrade’s full filings from 2008 at www.cro.ie. I’m not going to post them publicly, because they contain the names and addresses of everyone who owns shares in … Continue reading →

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“The fact that Inkling needs five bullet points and a graph to explain short selling is a good indication it’s too complicated.”

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

That was Jason Trost’s comment. But see, first, Chris Hibbert’s comment: My main complaint about using the “short-selling” terminology in prediction markets, is that it uses a term from finance that describes a complicated scenario to describe a simple scenario … Continue reading →

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Midas Oracle tells the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth.

Posted on March 19, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- Previously: The truth about prediction markets

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Blame the messy CEO —don’t blame the media.

Posted on March 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

- Nothing is more untrue than that. I do report things —bad things, and good things (like the NKM scandal, which “StrangeLove” alluded to). I give my opinions —and I link to or re-publish other people’s opinions. If the coverage … Continue reading →

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Happy Saint Patrick Day to all the InTrade-TradeSports traders…!!…

Posted on March 17, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Go reading Daniel Horowitz’s comment on the (bright) future of InTrade… -

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HubDub: “If you sign up a friend and he/she wins a prize, then you win the same prize.”

Posted on March 16, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

HubDub – March Madness 2009: *Prediction Market Technology – Experience March Madness Like Never Before* March 16th: Anticipation is running high for the 2009 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Championship (popularly known as March Madness) with the first round tipping … Continue reading →

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Scrutinizing InTrade’s financial statement for 2008

Posted on March 16, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Jesse Livermore (the ‘nom de plume’ of an InTrade trader): Now THIS is interesting. Midas Oracle has obtained the shareholder reports for Intrade. Links here, here, and here. I do quite a bit of investing in the stock markets and … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Business, Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged , , , | 4 Comments