Technical Note: I was logged in, but I got the same results when I was not logged in.
PREDICTION MARKETS IS SUGGESTION #2 AT GOOGLE WEB SEARCH FOR THE PREDICTION QUERY.
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Daily Archives: August 27, 2008
INTRADE-TRADESPORTS CEO JOHN DELANEY CENSORS CNBC ON YOUTUBE.
– HE CENSORS THE END OF THE FIRST CNBC VIDEO SEGMENT TO FIT HIS MARKETING AGENDA.
– HE ORDERS THAT THE SECOND CNBC VIDEO SEGMENT NOT TO BE UPLOADED ON YOUTUBE.
THE PROOF OF THE CENSORSHIP:
YouTube video (whose last part was censored by InTrade-TradeSports CEO John Delaney – PRECISION: the discussion between the journalists and the guest on the TV set was suppressed)
PLEASE, SOMEBODY, DO UPLOAD THE FULL VIDEO SEGMENT ON YOUTUBE, UNCENSORED, AND HIT ME WITH ITS URL. I’-LL RE-EMBED IT FOR EVERYONE TO SEE. THERE IS NO CENSORSHIP ON MIDAS ORACLE. WE ARE NEITHER IN CHINA NOR IN IRELAND. WE ARE FREE WORLD’-S CITIZENS. WE WANT TO SEE THE NAKED TRUTH, NOT DOCTORED TAPES.
The second CNBC video segment that TradeSports-InTrade CEO John Delaney does not want you to see on YouTube
APPENDIX: CNBC video + CNBC video #2
APPENDIX: THE ULTIMATE THING THAT TRADESPORTS-INTRADE CEO JOHN DELANEY WANTED TO CENSOR BUT COULDN’-T THANKS TO MIDAS ORACLE.
Predictify gets the X Groups concept right.
#1. X Groups
Predictify is unveiling a two-way interaction between their prediction platform and the blogs out there.
- FROM THE BLOGS TO PREDICTIFY: Number one, there is now a customized prediction widget that bloggers can embed in their blog posts so that their readers can vote within each blog post —-without leaving the blog.
- FROM PREDICTIFY TO THE BLOGS: Number two, there is now a trackback widget that bloggers can embed in their blog posts so that the blog readers can click and be connected to relevant questions on Predictify, based on the content in that particular post. As soon as one of the blog readers clicks a highlighted question, that question will have (on the Predicitif webpage) a trackback to the blog post —-theoretically pulling traffic from Predictify to that blog. The first problem with this second feature is that only the most popular trackback will be published on the particular Predictify webpage, as I understand it. I don’-t see how bloggers could be interested if there is no guarantee that their trackback will actually appear. The second problem is that we don’-t know whether Predictify abides by the “-do follow”- policy, which is a way for a website to injects Google PageRank juice to the website it links to. (The opposite policy is called “-no follow”-.) Only the “-do follow”- approach would get bloggers interested in that scheme. Predictify should clarify that.
- UPDATE: All the trackbacks will appear. They will be sorted by popularity. And, yes, Predictify has a “-do follow”- policy.
#2: Social Networking
I’-m told that Predictify will soon unveil a FaceBook application. We will see whether it’-s Predictify working on FaceBook or Predictify woking with FaceBook. See the difference? (YooPick works on FaceBook, not with FaceBook.)
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How do InTrades prediction markets work, and are they really accurate?
Thanks to the InTrade person who uploaded the first CNBC segment on YouTube, and fixed the initial technical problem.
I renew my asking for the second CNBC segment to be uploaded at YouTube, too. [If someone else than InTrade does it, please hit me with the YouTube URL. Thanks.]
My analysis:
- InTrade-TradeSports CEO John Delaney does a good job explaining the mechanism of the wisdom of crowds.
- They cut professor Justin Wolfers too short. It’-s a nuclear disaster —-once again. Justin Wolfers is an admirable and ultra friendly person, a great prediction market researcher, a good prediction market analyst, and a wonderful blogger, but his TV appearances are, so far, totally crappy. The guy needs to hire a publicist who will teach him to flatten his Australian accent and to talk straight and plain —-to go to the point real quick.
- “-It seems like someone at CNBC decided at some point that they would NEVER address the legality issue.”- – Dixit Deep Throat.
- After the broadcast of the video shot in Ireland, the camera goes back to the TV set, and, at this point, the comments from the journalists and the guest (Steve Forbes) show that they still don’-t understand fully the prediction markets. They don’-t have the right facts, and their analysis is not crystal clear.
- Overall, a good explainer on the prediction markets —-taken into account that CNBC is an entertainment media. For deeper explainers, see the Wall Street Journal, the Financial Times, or Midas Oracle.
YouTube video (the last part was censored by InTrade-TradeSports CEO John Delaney – PRECISION: the discussion between the journalists and the guest on the TV set was suppressed)
APPENDIX: CNBC video + CNBC video #2
UPDATE: The second CNBC video segment that TradeSports-InTrade CEO John Delaney does not want you to see on YouTube