Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Monthly Archives: February, 2008

Alpha Thesis

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

… Is The Blog Of The Day.
Good prediction market journalism.
Best wishes for your blog, Ashish Singal.
Come visit us on Midas Oracle whenever you want.

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged ,

Meet Michael Arrington of TechCrunch.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Lloyd Grove: I ran into Nick Denton [the owner of Gawker Media, parent company of the Silicon Valley blog ValleyWag.com] last night. What do you think of him?
Michael Arrington: I think he’s a total dick.
Lloyd Grove: Would you care to elaborate?
Michael Arrington: I think he’s amoral. I don’t think he has any sense of right [...]

Posted in Business, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Hedge your taxes –and forecast them too.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

The mainstream media continue to show interest for Jason Ruspini’s tax futures markets.
Previously: Video.

Posted in Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

InTrade’s John Delaney talking to CNBC’s Erin Burnett on 2008 US presidential prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

YouTube Video – January 22, 2008 – Seeing it only now, sorry for the delay.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , ,

This is a test. This is a test. This is a test. But an important test for prediction market journalism.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

I need to publish an image (whatever) with a link embedded into it —and with a link text associated with that embedded link. I need to do that because I am testing a WordPress plugin that automatically adds hyperlinks to the texts we have posted on this blog.
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To explain you a little bit, please first [...]

Posted in Information Technology, Prediction Journalism | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,

Henrik Fisker’s Fisker Automotive unveiled the Karma, an electric sedan with an $80,000 price tag.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 29, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Fisker Automotive

Posted in Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , ,

Inkling Markets want your business —real hard.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2008 — Leave a Comment
Posted in Consulting, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce

Why Aren’t Real Estate Derivatives More Popular?

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2008 — 1 Comment

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Zubin Jelveh:
1) Bad Timing and Behavioral Finance
2) Owning a Home Is Already a Hedge
3) Not-Ready for Prime-time
Read the whole thing, and expect Jason Ruspini’s comment, here or there.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Liquidity | Tagged , , ,

Donald Luskin outputs a bad explainer on prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2008 — 1 Comment

Firstly, I’d like to say that I respect Donald Luskin as a Wall Street professional and as a libertarian blogger. But I think that his explainer is too simplistic.
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Not a single word on the concept of probabilistic prediction:
The financial incentive to get it right, and the ability to draw on bettors from around the world [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , ,

Getting from Collective Intelligence to Collective Action

Written by Tom W. Bell on February 28, 2008 — 3 Comments

I really enjoyed attending the Collective Intelligence FOO Camp, sponsored by Google and O’Reilly Media, last weekend. I’d been expecting a sort of geek slumber party, and had looked forward to rolling out my awesome Darth Vader impersonation. I was all set to cut loose with a growling, “I’m your father, Luke.” [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Inventions & Innovations, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , ,
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