Monthly Archives: February 2008

Alpha Thesis

… Is The Blog Of The Day. Good prediction market journalism. Best wishes for your blog, Ashish Singal. Come visit us on Midas Oracle whenever you want.

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Meet Michael Arrington of TechCrunch.

Lloyd Grove: I ran into Nick Denton [the owner of Gawker Media, parent company of the Silicon Valley blog ValleyWag.com] last night. What do you think of him? Michael Arrington: I think he’s a total dick. Lloyd Grove: Would you … Continue reading

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Hedge your taxes –and forecast them too.

The mainstream media continue to show interest for Jason Ruspini’s tax futures markets. Previously: Video.

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InTrade’s John Delaney talking to CNBC’s Erin Burnett on 2008 US presidential prediction markets

YouTube Video – January 22, 2008 – Seeing it only now, sorry for the delay.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

This is a test. This is a test. This is a test. But an important test for prediction market journalism.

I need to publish an image (whatever) with a link embedded into it —and with a link text associated with that embedded link. I need to do that because I am testing a WordPress plugin that automatically adds hyperlinks to … Continue reading

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Henrik Fisker’s Fisker Automotive unveiled the Karma, an electric sedan with an $80,000 price tag.

Fisker Automotive

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Inkling Markets want your business —real hard.

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Why Aren’t Real Estate Derivatives More Popular?

- Zubin Jelveh: 1) Bad Timing and Behavioral Finance 2) Owning a Home Is Already a Hedge 3) Not-Ready for Prime-time Read the whole thing, and expect Jason Ruspini’s comment, here or there.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Liquidity | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Donald Luskin outputs a bad explainer on prediction markets.

Firstly, I’d like to say that I respect Donald Luskin as a Wall Street professional and as a libertarian blogger. But I think that his explainer is too simplistic. – Not a single word on the concept of probabilistic prediction: … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Getting from Collective Intelligence to Collective Action

I really enjoyed attending the Collective Intelligence FOO Camp, sponsored by Google and O’Reilly Media, last weekend. I’d been expecting a sort of geek slumber party, and had looked forward to rolling out my awesome Darth Vader impersonation. I was … Continue reading

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Market Proposals), Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Inventions & Innovations, Regulations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments