Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Monthly Archives: February, 2007

The close little world of Monsieur Emile Servan-Schreiber

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — 1 Comment

Let’s go through the NewsFutures’ blogroll to see what’s recommended by our French luminary —and what’s not.
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RECOMMENDED BY EJSS:
Blogs:
- Robin Hanson’s group blog on philosophy – (Spot here the promotion for NewsFutures without any disclosure.) — AUTHORIZED BY EJSS
- David Pennock’s blog on prediction markets, markets, gambling, and search engines — AUTHORIZED BY EJSS
Betting Exchanges:
- [...]

Posted in Resources - References | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Inkling Markets (ABC7): Baby face, freshly graduated, consultant wannabe Jed Christiansen still on top of the world, while Stanford professor Eric Zitzewitz is flushed out of the leader board.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — Leave a Comment
Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , ,

Todd Griepenburg can’t get no satisfaction with TradeSports-InTrade.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — Leave a Comment

REDUX
I won’t bother you again with the ugly details, but the bottom line is that Todd Griepenburg spotted an accountancy error, and he had to go through a long series of e-mails, back and forth, to get things resolved.
Look at this [****]… they over charge me $10 and it’s a drama to get it back! [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged ,

Eric Zitzewitz and Justin Wolfers: How many divisions?

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — 6 Comments

Zero.
Like the Pope.
8 transactions, so far. It’s just getting started, though. I will check again, later on.
Previous: XM-Sirius merger derivative – One transaction, only, so far
New York Times – Wall Street Journal
Psstt… With all due respect to these two prediction market luminaries, do you really believe that the timing of a merger is that socially [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity | Tagged , , , ,

EarthRace prediction markets, anyone??

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — Leave a Comment
Posted in Analysis (Market Proposals), Art, Entrepreneurship, Inventions & Innovations

CNBC Coverage Of February 27’s Plunge: The Full 5 Minutes

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 28, 2007 — 1 Comment

CNBC Coverage Of February 27’s Plunge: The Full 5 Minutes

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Prices & Probabilities

Oscars 2007 – Hollywood Stock Exchange – Bingo!

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 27, 2007 — 2 Comments

HSX Amy Lamare:
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX.com) Traders correctly picked 7 out of 8 Top Category Oscar Winners to continue its stellar record.
Los Angeles, California, February 26, 2007 -
Hollywood Stock Exchange (HSX), announced a spectacular 88% success rate for picking this year’s Oscar winners. The world’s longest continuously operating commercial prediction market and popular online game [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Expiry | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Technology Prizes & Prediction Markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 27, 2007 — 1 Comment

ABC7 Futures Market: Will the $25 million dollar reward for developing something that will extract greenhouse gases be handed out in the next 5 years?
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Virgin Earth Challenge:
The Virgin Earth Challenge is a prize of $25m for whoever can demonstrate to the judges’ satisfaction a commercially viable design which results in the removal of anthropogenic, atmospheric [...]

Posted in Entrepreneurship, Exchanges & Markets, History, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Inkling Markets (ABC7): Consultant wannabe Jed Christiansen beats Stanford professor Eric Zitzewitz.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 27, 2007 — 3 Comments

SMASHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHING.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets | Tagged , , , , ,

Todd Griepenburg can’t get no satisfaction with TradeSports-InTrade.

Written by Chris F. Masse on February 27, 2007 — 2 Comments

Todd Griepenburg:
Once again… TS has the exchange set to close at 2am tonight…
I wait on live help but no one comes on I get that Email us message.. so I sent them an email…
I cant believe a group of people running a business can really not be able to figure out such simple issues.
Subject: Once [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged , , , ,
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