Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: web links

Playing SEO game with CrowdCast

For a short period of time, lately, the NYT article on CrowdCast was ahead of Midas Oracle in a google search for “CrowdCast”. I had to find a way to beat them. So, I created a post about CrowdCast on the other blog —which of course links to the CrowdCast material here, on this blog [...]

How to see the brand-new favicon of Midas Oracle

- Use iTools for Macintosh to clean up your Internet footprints.
- iTools will screw up your FireFox bookmarks. Any newly bookmarked URL will be deleted when you restart FireFox. To cure that, read this and do what they tell you to do.
- You will now be able to see the brand-new favicon of Midas Oracle.
- [...]

4 miscellaneous web links you can’t afford to ignore

- Max Keiser and Alec Baldwin lecture little Nigel Eccles (of HubDub) on Italian cheese and the US economy.
- Auction system in the NFL. – Via prof Mike Giberson from Texas.
- Local newspapers are going down the toilets, and so is democracy.
- It is an L-shaped recession. [*]
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[*] Happy Saturday morning, anyway.

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They are using Delicious on a daily baisis.

Chris Hibbert: del.icio.us / cth
Mike Linksvayer: del.icio.us / mlinksva
David Pennock: delicious.com/pennockd

Did you e-mail a link to Chris Masse?

If you e-mail me a link, lately, and you didn’t see me posting it on Midas Oracle, then that could mean that I lost your link. Sorry for that. I suffered 2 computer craches, lately. My e-mails are OK, but I lost all of my recent bookmarks.
Re-send.
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2 web links that are not about prediction markets —but which you should check.

- A good take on the John Edwards Non-Affair.
- A good take on Rupert Murdoch’s political influences and how he uses them for corporate advantage.
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2008 US ELECTORAL MAP PREDICTION: Prediction Markets for the 2008 US Electoral College

ELECTORAL COLLEGE MARKETS: Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com).
By Lance Fortnow, David Pennock, and Yiling Chen.
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#1. Explainer On Prediction Markets
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A prediction market is a market for a contract that yields payments based on the outcome of a partially uncertain future event, such as [...]

2008 US Electoral Map Prediction

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US ELECTORAL MAP: Prediction Markets for the 2008 Electoral College
ElectoralMarkets.com
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Via Read & Write Web
2008 Electoral Map (based on InTade) + 2008 Electoral Map (based on polls)
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UPDATE: Hal Finney
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See our PREDICTIONS page for more predictive data…
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Probabilistic predictions for the 2008 US presidential elections based on market data from InTrade Ireland —(electoralmarkets.com).
By Lance Fortnow, David [...]

75,000 people turned out to hear Barack Obama at Waterfront Park, Portland, Oregon, U.S.A.

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Oregon’s Democratic Primary
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InTrade

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BetFair

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Kentucky’s Democratic Primary
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InTrade

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BetFair

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NewsFutures
Some delegates from FL or MI will be seated at the Democratic Convention.

© NewsFutures
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First look at individual states for the 2008 US presidential elections
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2008 US Presidential Election Winner – Individual

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2008 US Presidential Elections

Source: Dynamic, compound prediction market charts from InTrade
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Next US President

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Winning Party

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Female President?

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Democratic Candidate

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Republican Candidate

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Source: [...]

Midas Oracle keeps a list of 600+ external web links, and each of them is now automatically embedded into its text anchor.

Here’s our list of links.
Here’s the WordPress plugin I’m testing: Cross-Linker by Jan Hvizdak
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Now, let’s test it. I’m writing a list of people and organizations, and the plugin will automatically embed a link into each text anchor:

Robin Hanson
InTrade
InTrade Forum
Inkling Markets
Inkling Markets Blog
Inkling Markets Forum
Justin Wolfers
Michael Giberson
Slate
Koleman Strumpf
Prediction Market Industry Association
Midas Oracle .ORG
Marginal Revolution
Cato Institute
Chicago Mercantile [...]

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