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Tag Archives: waging

The sudden dip in March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market was an intentional coup.

Posted on March 25, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Here’s the latest discussion.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, InTrade, ObamaCare, Politics, prediction markets, US politics, wagers, waging | Leave a comment

Allegedly, an idiot pressed the wrong button on March 16′s InTrade ObamaCare prediction market. Do you buy it?

Posted on March 24, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Marcus Shea: Here’s the most likely scenario as to what happened here: Somebody had a decent short position. Say they had about 65 shares (the volume bars indicate that this was likely a < 100 share transaction, ie, < $5 … Continue reading →

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Market Trading | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, health care, health care reform, InTrade, ObamaCare, Politics, prediction markets, US politics, wagers, waging | 10 Comments
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