Tag Archives: University of Kansas School of Business

James Lemieux, whom Koleman Strumpf plugged to us, is a marketing professor researching on, among others, “decision analysis”. Quite on target. Take a look at his website by right-clicking on the image posted below.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 9, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Posted in People | Also tagged James Lemieux, Koleman Strumpf, marketing professor, prediction markets

Prediction Markets in the Classroom: Inkling Markets

Written by Koleman Strumpf on May 9, 2008 — 11 Comments

hile prediction markets have been in the spotlight this year, they are still unfamiliar to many folks. As one small step towards improving their visibility, along with my colleague James Lemieux I ran a prediction market at the University of Kansas School of Business. The markets ran for three and a half months and almost [...]

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Cases, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Also tagged Adam, Adam Siegel, Business School, classroom, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Finance, Google, Inkling, James Lemieux, Koleman Strumpf, market administrators, Nate Kontny, pedagogical tool, prediction markets, traders, trading participation

Professor Koleman Strumpf tells CNN that a prediction market, by essence, can’t predict an upset.

Written by Chris F. Masse on April 22, 2008 — 3 Comments

CNN:
FOREMAN: I’ve got something I want you to take a look at. Look at this. It could be the price of a stock or a mutual fund. It isn’t. It’s the odds that a particular candidate, the red here is Hillary Clinton, who will become president of the United States. It’s called the predictive market. [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Also tagged accuracy, CNN, crude oil, director of the Sports Book, Dublin, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Forecasting (Science & Practice), FOREMAN, Hillary Clinton, historical prediction markets, InTrade, Iowa, Iowa Electronic Markets, Ireland, JOHN AVELLO, Johnny Avello, Kansas, Koleman Strumpf, Las Vegas, Madame Tussaud's Wax Museum, online markets, particular candidate, prediction markets, President, president of the United States, Professor, surprise, the New York Times, United States, University of Kansas, upset, USD, Wall Street, Washington, Wisconsin, WYNN, WYNN HOTEL

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

Written by Chris F. Masse on January 20, 2008 — 1 Comment

The Journal of Prediction Markets:
The Journal of Prediction Markets
Editor:
Leighton Vaughan Williams
Associate Editors:
John Delaney – CEO InTrade
Bruno Deschamps – University of Bath
Olivier Gergaud – Université de Reims Champagne-Ardennes
Robin Hanson – George Mason University
Charles Noussair – Emory University
Marco Ottaviani – Ex-London Business School
David Paton – Nottingham University Business School
Paul Rhode – University of Arizona
Emile Servan-Schreiber – CEO [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Ethics, Resources - References | Also tagged academics, Arizona, Bruno Deschamps, Business, Canterbury University, CEO, Charles Noussair, David Paton, Editor, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Emory University, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, George Mason University, Jed Christiansen, John Delaney, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, London Business School, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Michael Smith, Niall O'Connor, Nottingham University Business School, Olivier Gergaud, Paul Rhode, Pennsylvania, PMIA, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Stanford Graduate School, The Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Arizona, University of Bath, University of Passau , Koleman Strumpf, University of Pennsylvania

Marketing whiz Bill McIntosh left HedgeStreet.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 3, 2007 — Leave a Comment

He is with DeviseScape now.
—
OUR HISTORY VIGNETTE:
Now you, too, can predict hurricanes. – [HedgeStreet | Forecasting Center - (Hurricanes) | Dashboard] – 2006-09-04

They claim it offers hurricane-weary residents a way to hedge their risk, and could develop into a powerful tool for predicting storm damage. What it’s not, said Bill McIntosh, vice president of marketing [...]

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, History, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Also tagged assistant professor of finance, Bill McIntosh, Chief Market Strategist, Finance, Forecasting Center, HedgeStreet, prediction markets, professor of economics, Professor of Finance, Richard Borghesi, Robert Dubil, Texas State University, USD, vice president of marketing

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 26, 2006 — Leave a Comment

Two days ago, I stated brashly that political prediction markets aggregate the polls, mainly. (Mike Linksvayer nuanced my propos, in the comment area.)
GOP Keeps Senate, Loses House, Betting Site Says. – [US political prediction markets] – by Ronald Kessler – 2006-10-24
One theory is that prediction markets are influenced by the results of opinion polls. But [...]

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, History | Also tagged George Gallup, Koch professor, Koch professor of economics, Koleman S. Strumpf, Mike Linksvayer, New York, Paul W. Rhode, professor of economics, Republican Party, Ronald Kessler, Senate, the New York Times, United States, Wall Street

Tag Archives: University of Kansas School of Business

James Lemieux, whom Koleman Strumpf plugged to us, is a marketing professor researching on, among others, “decision analysis”. Quite on target. Take a look at his website by right-clicking on the image posted below.

Prediction Markets in the Classroom: Inkling Markets

Professor Koleman Strumpf tells CNN that a prediction market, by essence, can’t predict an upset.

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

Marketing whiz Bill McIntosh left HedgeStreet.

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

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Tag Archives: University of Kansas School of Business

James Lemieux, whom Koleman Strumpf plugged to us, is a marketing professor researching on, among others, “decision analysis”. Quite on target. Take a look at his website by right-clicking on the image posted below.

Prediction Markets in the Classroom: Inkling Markets

Professor Koleman Strumpf tells CNN that a prediction market, by essence, can’t predict an upset.

Is it good to have a prediction market melting pot of academics and businesses?

Marketing whiz Bill McIntosh left HedgeStreet.

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

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