Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Super Bowl 2009

The BetFair chart on the Super Bowl XLIII (2009) puzzles one of the Midas Oracle readers.

Barry O:
Is this a knockout comp? The graph looks too mathematical to be anything else.
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Barry O:
If the teams are knocked out of the competition (or mathematically have no chance) then thats going to improve the probability of the other remaining teams. I.e. 8 equal teams would have a 12.5%, 4 get knocked out and the [...]

95 million TV viewers for the Super Bowl 2009

WSJ:
Only the Super Bowl, presidential debates, the Oscars and a few other broadcasts attract the tens of millions of viewers that major advertisers, including movie studios and big consumer-product makers like PepsiCo Inc., long to reach.
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UPDATE: There has been a recount.
98.7 million
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Accuracy —not

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We need to compare the Super Bowl 2009 prediction markets with what was said on TV about the odds of each of the 2 teams.
Any guess about what we would find out?
Would that be interesting or not?
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Monday Morning QuarterBack To Death

Super Bowl XLIII – 2009

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Cross-posted from Midas Oracle .COM
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Super Bowl XLIII – 2009

Super Bowl XLIII – Arizona Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Who will win?
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For BetFair, follow this link. (Their widgets don’t go into feeds, alas.)
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