Tag Archives: scholars

How some US-based university professors endorsed a Holland-based consultancy firm

Here is the e-mail that was sent to the prediction market scholars listed on Midas Oracle.: Dear Mr. [PROFESSOR'S NAME GOES HERE], I am writing on behalf of [PREDICTION MARKET SOFTWARE VENDOR'S NAME], a Netherlands based consulting firm, because our … Continue reading

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Robin Hanson: My best idea was prediction markets.

Robin Hanson‘s auto-biography (i.e., how Our Master Of All Universes views HimSelf): – Robin Hanson: Do you find it hard to summarize yourself in a few words? Me too. But I love the above quote. I have a passion, a … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, History, People | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Who needs pundits’ track records when we have prediction markets?

Emile Servan-Schreiber: Mr. Kristof, if you want to keep yourself accountable and track the success of your predictions in the long run and in real-time, why not simply participate in a prediction market such as NewsFutures? You could suggest that … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Betting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Track records + Prediction markets — Will they mix up well?

Yet another reason why we should *not* call it the “Prediction Market Institute”… Nicholas Kristof: So what about a system to evaluate us prognosticators? Professor Tetlock suggests that various foundations might try to create a “trans-ideological Consumer Reports for punditry,” … Continue reading

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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.) – Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington … Continue reading

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