Tag Archives: Sarah Palin
On the question of the candidates’ qualifications to assume the presidency, 87 percent of the people polled said Joe Biden is qualified while only 42 percent said Sarah Palin is qualified.
CNN poll
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Source: InTrade
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Intrade 2008.PRES.McCAIN > PRESIDENT.REP2008
How frequent are arbitrage opportunities such as the following?
In addition to title, the reverse is true of OBAMA/DEM.
Do traders really think there’s some probability of McCain being elected as an idependent and Obama being replaced as the Democrat nominee?
Hearthis post
Like the New Hampshire prediction markets, the “Sarah Palin as the Republican vice-presidential nominee” prediction markets (from InTrade, BetFair and HubDub) are bringing a bad reputation to the whole prediction market industry.
Hearthis post
HubDub’s Nigel Eccles ridiculizes Paul Kedrosky’s post bashing the prediction markets after the Sarah Palin upset.
Hilarious.
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Hearthis post
Democratic hatchet men disguised as “scholars” in the Press
The title of the Politico story is, “Scholars question Palin credentials“.
Now, read the update to get a good laugh.
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Hearthis post
2 very funny headlines about Sarah Palin
Huh?
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Hearthis post
The ubber president of the Pennock fan club responds to Felix Salmon.
Hearthis post
Quit mulling over the VP-choice prediction markets, today’s real story is in the election winner markets.
I would suggest that the VP selections and the performance of the VP-choice markets at InTrade and elsewhere lend some validity to Chris Masse’s views on such markets. But enough about the VP markets, already. The interesting developments are in the election-winner markets.
Since just after 2 PM Irish time, when the NEW.REP.VP.PALIN contract [...]
Sarah… Who?
She is at 59% as I type this.
(Sorry for my previous post about Mitt Romney. I consulted the political news websites before InTrade. )
Hearthis post
Who will be the next US Vice President, past January 2009?
UPDATE:
- To be kept updated on the prediction markets, go to the frontpage of Midas Oracle, or click on the InTrade tag.
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Here are the expired contracts about the Democratic vice presidential nominee (Joe Biden).
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Here is the expired contract about the Repuiblican vice presidential nominee (Sarah Palin).
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ORIGINAL POST:
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Unlike Bo Cowgill, I have stong reservations about those [...]
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