Tag Archives: Sarah Palin

Sarah Palin’s InTrade probabilistic probability… after the Tucson shooting – [PREDICTION MARKET CHART]

Posted on January 10, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Via Joe.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Good write-up of the Sarah Palin prediction market

Posted on July 7, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

…in the HuffPost.

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On the question of the candidates’ qualifications to assume the presidency, 87 percent of the people polled said Joe Biden is qualified while only 42 percent said Sarah Palin is qualified.

Posted on October 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

CNN poll – - Technical Note: If you don’t see the right end of any of these huge static charts, do right-click on the image, and open the chart in another browser tab. Source: InTrade Technical Note: Our advice for … Continue reading →

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Intrade 2008.PRES.McCAIN > PRESIDENT.REP2008

Posted on September 11, 2008 by Mike Linksvayer

How frequent are arbitrage opportunities such as the following? In addition to title, the reverse is true of OBAMA/DEM. Do traders really think there’s some probability of McCain being elected as an idependent and Obama being replaced as the Democrat … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchanges & Markets, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Like the New Hampshire prediction markets, the “Sarah Palin as the Republican vice-presidential nominee” prediction markets (from InTrade, BetFair and HubDub) are bringing a bad reputation to the whole prediction market industry.

Posted on September 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

HubDub’s Nigel Eccles ridiculizes Paul Kedrosky’s post bashing the prediction markets after the Sarah Palin upset.

Posted on August 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Hilarious. – -

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Humor, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Democratic hatchet men disguised as “scholars” in the Press

Posted on August 31, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

The title of the Politico story is, “Scholars question Palin credentials“. Now, read the update to get a good laugh. -

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2 very funny headlines about Sarah Palin

Posted on August 30, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Huh? -

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The ubber president of the Pennock fan club responds to Felix Salmon.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse
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Quit mulling over the VP-choice prediction markets, today’s real story is in the election winner markets.

Posted on August 29, 2008 by Michael Giberson

I would suggest that the VP selections and the performance of the VP-choice markets at InTrade and elsewhere lend some validity to Chris Masse’s views on such markets. But enough about the VP markets, already. The interesting developments are in … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments