Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: professors

The Climate Gate scandal highlights the modus operandi of the academic mafia.

Required reading this Friday:
- How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus – About expelling the non-believers from the academic journals publishing on climate science
- The Dog Ate Global Warming – About the destruction of raw temperature data of Planet Earth
More info on climate change.
P.S.: East Anglia e-mails (CRU)

How some US-based university professors endorsed a Holland-based consultancy firm

Here is the e-mail that was sent to the prediction market scholars listed on Midas Oracle.:

Dear Mr. [PROFESSOR'S NAME GOES HERE],
I am writing on behalf of [PREDICTION MARKET SOFTWARE VENDOR'S NAME], a Netherlands based consulting firm, because our research has identified you as a scholar with some expertise in Prediction Markets or a related field. [...]

Unlike every other academic field, computer science uses conferences rather than journals as the main publication venue.

Lance Fortnow:
While this made sense for a young discipline, our field has matured and the conference model has fractured the discipline and skewered it toward short-term, deadline-driven research. Computer science should refocus the conference system on its primary purpose of bringing researchers together. We should use archive sites as the main method of quick paper [...]

Scholarly journals are not so open.

Academic Papers + Open Access + Scholarly Journals = a crazzzzzy mix

Robin Hanson: My best idea was prediction markets.

Robin Hanson’s auto-biography (i.e., how Our Master Of All Universes views HimSelf):

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Robin Hanson:
Do you find it hard to summarize yourself in a few words? Me too.
But I love the above quote. I have a passion, a sacred quest, to understand everything, and to save the world. I am addicted to “viewquakes”, insights which [...]

Do economics professors who have business relationships with prediction market companies indoctrinate their students about the supposed benefits of prediction markets?

Read this New York Times article about academic–industry ties.
How much consulting and speaking fees (plus, free meals, tickets, trips or the like) do our economics professors receive from the prediction market industry?
Does it taint what they write and teach?
Should we ban prediction market companies from providing any academic funding?

ProfCast.com — A tool for recording lectures and creating enhanced podcasts.

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Via the AskMarkets guy.
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The best researchers on prediction markets

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

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