Tag Archives: prices

Conspicacy theory (involving credit cards) about coffee futures — [VIDEO]

Posted on May 16, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Business, Finance, Financial Markets, Hedging & Insurance, The Global Economy | Tagged coffee, coffee futures, coffee price, coffee prices, commodities, commodity, commodity prices, credit cards, derivative trading, derivatives, futures, Hedging, Howard Schultz, inflation, Max Keiser, price, prices, speculation, speculators, Starbucks, trading | Leave a comment

Prediction market stability makes prices informative, while prediction market instability generates liquidity. — [ANALYSIS]

Posted on March 11, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Andrew Gelman finds Rajiv Sethi’s remarks interesting: Markets are impressive mechanisms for information aggregation but they’re not magic. The information has to come from somewhere, and markets are inherently always living in the phase transition between stability and instability. (It … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Economics, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged bets, Betting, betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, information, instability, InTrade, liquidity, Nate Silver, odds, prediction markets, prices, probabilities, Rajiv Sethi, stability | Leave a comment

How do you value art? ArtPrice builds up the extensive database for you. – [VIDEO]

Posted on December 10, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

http://artprice.com/ ArtPrice / FIAC Contemporary Art Market 2009/2010

Posted in Business, Economics, Inventions & Innovations | Tagged Art, ArtPrice, data, database, price of art, prices, Thierry Ehrmann | Leave a comment

Jim Rogers on CNBC Europe – [VIDEO]

Posted on December 7, 2010 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Finance, Financial Markets, The Global Economy | Tagged commodities, economy, Federal Reserve, growth, inflation, Jim Rogers, money creation, money printing, Politics, prices, US economy, US Federal Reserve, US politics | Leave a comment

Intrade Archive, recording trades and prices

Posted on October 6, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Intrade Archive, recording trades and prices App Engine Java Code By mister the great research scientist doctor professor Panos Ipeirotis

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, History, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged archives, betting markets, event derivative markets, InTrade, Intrade Archive, prediction markets, prices, probablilities, trades, transactions | Leave a comment

InTrade publishes real-time trade alerts on Twitter under the user name IntradeTrades.

Posted on July 15, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

http://twitter.com/IntradeTrades http://twitter.com/Intrade

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Prediction Journalism | Tagged InTrade, IntradeTrades, market prices, market probabilities, prediction markets, prices, probabilities, trade alerts, Twitter | Leave a comment

Don’t shoot the speculators. They predict prices, not set them.

Posted on July 13, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

L. Gordon Crovitz in the Wall Street Journal: More-detailed reporting on who has which kinds of positions in oil would make the market more understandable. It would show that so-called financial speculators are trying to predict price movements, but also … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Finance, Hedging & Insurance, Regulations | Tagged CFTC, Collective Forecasting, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Hedging, information, information aggregation, laws, manipulation, markets, prices, Regulations, risks | 1 Comment

Ten people are bidding on a stock at 90, while 100 people are offering to sell it at 91. What price is the next trade?

Posted on April 8, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Slate: Interviewees often say that since there are more sellers than buyers, the sellers get to determine the price. That logic usually yields an answer between 90 and 91. That’s exactly wrong. “They’re not thinking about what’s going on in … Continue reading →

Posted in Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Finance, Market Trading | Tagged prices, trade quiz, trading | 2 Comments

The proper way to predict Obama’s electoral vote count

Posted on November 3, 2008 by Emile Servan-Schreiber

I’m puzzled by the way Intrade projects the electoral vote count on its home page. Two methods are proposed: (a) add up the votes of all the states that are “leaning” (>50%) for a candidate, or (b) compute a price-weighted … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Data), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged interpreting prices as probabilities, NewsFutures, prediction markets, prices, probabilities | 10 Comments

Prices or Probabilities?

Posted on June 3, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Probabilities… … and then… Prices. – Talk first probabilities… because people interested in news get the concept and vocabulary. Then, later on, when only the bettors and traders stay with you for the rest of the conversation, talk prices. – … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce | Tagged BetFair, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Mark Davies, prediction market approach, prediction markets, prices, probabilities | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: prices

Meta

Recent Posts