Tag Archives: Prediction Market Institute

Prediction Markets on Midas Oracle

As you have seen, Ryan of HubDub have published about a bunch of play-money prediction markets that are hot this week. I hope that Ryan will come back each week to update us. This possibility to inform the Midas Oracle … Continue reading

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Should there be a Prediction Market Institute?

David Pennock: Oops, a clarification: I meant one could ask “Should there be a Prediction Institute?”. I agree a Prediction Institute does not imply market-based, and that prediction and forecasting are roughly the same. I was saying that in a … Continue reading

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Track records + Prediction markets — Will they mix up well?

Yet another reason why we should *not* call it the “Prediction Market Institute”… Nicholas Kristof: So what about a system to evaluate us prognosticators? Professor Tetlock suggests that various foundations might try to create a “trans-ideological Consumer Reports for punditry,” … Continue reading

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The 6 little things David Pennock didn’t tell you about the Prediction Market Institute

- #1. – It is not such a great idea to call it a “prediction market institute”, for the reasons that it excludes the non-market mechanisms and the other collective intelligence mechanisms. (See Daniel’s comment on the Pennock blog, here.) … Continue reading

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Should research scientist David Pennock lead the Prediction Market Institute?

- Should we create a Prediction Market Institute? – Should we ask doctor David Pennock to super-head it? – Should we have a Prediction Markets Consortium that will anchor itself somewhere in an educational institution or non-profit foundation? – Should … Continue reading

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