Tag Archives: post-mortem predictions

FORECASTING THE ECONOMY: Keynesian Economics vs. Austrian Economics — [VIDEO]

The 2 videos are designed to convince you that the Austrians’ economic predictions are more accurate. The first video has an intro in French, sorry for that, but the rest of the video is in English (with French subtitles). Keynesians’ … Continue reading

Posted in Economics, Finance, Financial Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Post-Mortem, The Global Economy | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Economists who had a better record at calling extreme events had a worse record in general.

“The analyst with the largest number as well as the highest proportion of accurate and extreme forecasts had, by far, the worst forecasting record.“

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Economics, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Prediction Post-Mortem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Ray Kurzweil (Robin Hanson’s guru) got his 1999-2009 predictions … all wrong.

- Michael Anissimov: Kurzweil’s Failed 2009 Predictions – More at the Next Big Future — (an excellent blog) UPDATE

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Inventions & Innovations | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments