Tag Archives: political election prediction markets
My open challenge to AskMarkets co-founder George Tziralis
Dear George,
Congrats for the launch of AskMarkets. Best wishes to your prediction exchange and consulting firm.
Here’s the perfect opportunity to ask you the “question that kills”:
What was the social utility of the political election prediction markets during the 2008 campaign?
In other words, why should the media have informed people about the InTrade probabilities at a [...]
Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Software
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Also tagged accuracy, Ask Markets, AskMarkets, George Tziralis, prediction markets, social utility, utility
Historical Political Prediction Markets
Historical Political Futures Markets: An International Perspective – (ungated, earlier version: PDF file) – by Paul W. Rhode and Koleman Strumpf – 2008-10-xx
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