Tag Archives: Paul Tetlock
My response to the CFTC on event contracts
Here is my response to the CFTC’s “Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts.” I appreciate this opportunity to help in working towards regulated prediction markets in the US, and I thank the Commissioners for it.
Given the political implications of the rise in commodity prices, this is not the best environment in [...]
BetFair-TradeFair (slightly) improve their blog, finally (it was about time) —and open 2 new sections: “prediction markets” and “financials”.
Here’s the vertical menu of the BetFair blog. Scroll down until you see “Politics”, and “Prediction Markets”.
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Here’s their section on politics:
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Here’s their section on finance:
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My thoughts:
Their “about” page still does not list the names of their editor(s) and publisher(s). It would give them credibility.
My understanding is that their blog is run by their PR department. [...]
The old guy you see in the picture, making a fool of himself, is a respected physics professor from the MIT.
… demonstrating to his students that a period of a pendulum is independent of the mass.
“Physics works!” Professor Lewin shouts, as the classroom explodes in cheers.
Are our good prediction market doctors [*] that charismatic and popular??? Have those introverts computed that good marketing is so important to convey ideas???
[*] Robin Hanson, Justin Wolfers, Eric Ziztzewitz, [...]
Academics to discuss prediction market experience
According to the preliminary schedule of the 2008 American Economic Association annual meetings, some leading prediction market scholars will be gathering to discuss empirical data from prediction markets. The meetings will be held in New Orleans in early January [2008].
The “Prediction Markets–New Empirical Findings” session, organized by Eric Zitzewitz, of Stanford University Dartmouth College, [...]
The Hollywood Stock Exchange, Max Keiser, and their Wikipedia entries.
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Hollywood Stock Exchange entry at Wikipedia:
The Hollywood Stock Exchange, or HSX, is a web-based, multiplayer game in which players use simulated money to buy and sell “shares” of actors, directors, upcoming films, and film-related options. [...]
HSX is a play-money prediction exchange… and a PM software firm.
Wikipedia does mention that HSX is owned by Cantor Fitzgerald, [...]
Meet Paul Tetlock.
Paul Tetlock of Texas
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