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Tag Archives: omniscience

Prediction markets won’t reverse the arrow of time —they won’t tell us the future.

Posted on February 16, 2009 by Chris F. Masse
Posted in Analysis (Meta), Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged Forecasting (Science & Practice), omniscience, prediction markets, the future, The Truth About Prediction Markets | Leave a comment

Ubber finance blogger Barry Ritholtz believes in magic. He believes that, with more volumes on the event derivative markets, comes the Omniscience —capital “O”.

Posted on May 20, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

- Our good friend Barry Ritholtz.has persuaded himself that our real-money prediction markets suffer from an irremediable and fatal problem: liquidity on political event derivative markets is too thin for smart Wall Street people like him to take their market-generated … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators | Tagged accuracy, advanced indicators, Barry Ritholtz, clueless mainstream media, event derivative markets, event derivatives, finance blogger, Market Liquidity, New Hampshire, omniscience, polls, prediction markets, the New York Times, trades, transactions, volumes, Wall Street | 5 Comments
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