Tag Archives: New Jersey
2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Race: Was Nate Silver’s prediction more accurate than InTrade’s?
Nate Silver’s prediction (November 2, 2009): “I’d make Christie about the 4:3 favorite.”
[ UPDATE: Nate Silver's prediction post-mortem on the 2009 US elections.]
You can see that days before Elections 2009, InTrade was too heavy on Corzine:
NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets
NewsFutures:
Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd
1.) Integrated Solutions
We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization to fully consider Prediction Markets as a key decision-support tool.
From experience, we know that a successful prediction market [...]
The best researchers on prediction markets
CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
-
Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]
Intrade beats Zogby on Super Tuesday
Both the prediction market and the pollster called 5 of the 7 head-to-head contest winners, so it was mostly ties between them. But in the NJ Democratic primary and the California Republican primary, Intrade contracts pointed to the winner on election eve, while Zogby indicated a tie in NJ and Romney in California.
Standings
Wins
Losses
Ties
Pct
Contender
Avg Eve Prob
5
2
9
59.4%
Intrade
69.6%
2
5
9
40.6%
Zogby
39.2%
Contest-by-contest [...]
Michael Bloomberg for US President??
Michael Bloomberg to run as Independent in 2008
Previous: Under this hypothetical scenario, the money would support a targeted advertising campaign to sell an Electoral College strategy to voters.
—
The McLaughlin Group (MP4 file):
MR. MCLAUGHLIN: Issue Four: Back to Bloomberg.
Mayor of New York Mike Bloomberg may run for U.S. president as an independent. The political consequences of [...]
The many fantasy sports leagues enthusiasts can breathe a deep sigh of relief after a ruling by a federal judge in New Jersey that their activities do not constitute illegal gambling.
Eric J. Sinrod:
These leagues permit participants to manage virtual teams of professional players in a sport during a particular season and to compete against other participants based on the actual statistical performance of those players. [...]
Tom W. Bell will be very interesting in reading his take, I’m sure.
INTERNET GAMBLING AND BETTING: BODOG’S CALVIN AYRE IS NOT A GENTLEMAN.
Via “Europe’s foremost betting industry analyst” (or so he thinks he is), The Globe And Mail.
[...] He’s relaxed here, lounging in shorts and flip-flops, occasionally leaning over to his computer to check incoming e-mail, although he chooses his words with great caution, smiles infrequently and limits his eye contact. [...]
page 6:
[...] The first would have [...]
Illegal Bookmakers Busted in New York and New Jersey, U.S.A.
New York Times:
[...] The New Jersey operation brought in revenues of more than $500 million over the last 18 months, officials said, and the New York outfit generated more than $30 million in the last 10 months. [...] Both relied on separate Web sites based in Costa Rica [50ksports.com]. Both operations mixed state-of-the-art technology with [...]
Recent Comments