2009 New Jersey Gubernatorial Race: Was Nate Silvers prediction more accurate than InTrades?

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Nate Silver&#8217-s prediction (November 2, 2009): &#8220-I&#8217-d make Christie about the 4:3 favorite.&#8221-

[ UPDATE: Nate Silver’s prediction post-mortem on the 2009 US elections.]

You can see that days before Elections 2009, InTrade was too heavy on Corzine:




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