Tag Archives: Nevada caucus

Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada + Republican primary in South Carolina

Here are the event derivative charts of expired InTrade contracts. [Psstt... I have high hopes about being able to publish the charts of expired BetFair contracts, too, soon. ] — — Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada — Democratic caucus … Continue reading

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Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada + Republican primary in South Carolina

— Democratic and Republican caucuses in Nevada — Democratic caucus in Nevada (Hillary Clinton = 57.4%): BetFair Democratic prediction markets — Democratic caucus in Nevada (Barack Obama = 42%): BetFair Democratic prediction markets — Republican caucus in Nevada (Mitt Romney … Continue reading

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Prediction markets are rushing to incorporate the latest Nevada polls. [*]

— Polls: Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney. — The Hillary Clinton event derivative has just jumped to 61%, but this price/probability is not yet reflected in the chart below —as I write this early morning, the latest price on the … Continue reading

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