Tag Archives: model

Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages

Posted on November 26, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

— Based on that book by Carlota Perez, the blogger at The Park Paradigm says that BetFair is a 6th-paradigm company. In her model, the world has experienced five technological revolutions and “techno-economic” paradigms in the modern era, starting with … Continue reading →

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Where is it that the prediction markets can make a macro difference, mister Robin Hanson?

Posted on September 26, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

Prediction market consultant Robin Hanson wants to be paid according to outputs instead of inputs. Smart blog post. However, I will say this, if I may. I think it should be up to the consultant to tell the client where … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Consulting | Tagged , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Market Makers for Multi-Outcome Markets

Posted on September 10, 2007 by Chris Hibbert

Previous articles in this series have discussed market makers and how they differ from book order markets, how to improve Liquidity in multi-Outcome claims, and how to integrate a Market Maker into Book order systems. But none of those talked … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, All Guest Authors's Posts, Analysis (Meta), Explainers, Market Makers (Automated), Mechanism Designs, Software | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 21 Comments

Leading political indicators

Posted on April 24, 2007 by Alex Forshaw

American politics does not suffer from a shortage of polls. Zogby. Gallup. Rasmussen. SurveyUSA. Mason-Dixon. Polimetrix… In an information-glutted world, what matters is not the supply of sources, but the ability to glean trustworthy information from the larger swath of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Leading & Lagging Indicators, Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments