Tag Archives: MIT

They are using prediction markets to forecast what…???…

Written by Chris F. Masse on October 9, 2009 — Leave a Comment

- “to predict the likelihood of breast cancer drugs succeeding through the three phases of drug clinical trials.”
- to “help doctors and patients gain insights into the safety and efficacy of specific drugs at the early stages of clinical trials beyond information that is publicly available.”
Complete B.S.

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, CrowdCast, event derivative markets, Harvard, information aggregation, Pharmer's Market, prediction markets

“Prediction Market Consultant at MIT”

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 18, 2008 — 4 Comments

Wow, now I am impressed, Chris.
(Click on the detailed profile.)

Posted in People | Also tagged Chris Hibbert, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, prediction markets

Prediction Economy

Written by Chris F. Masse on November 12, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Prediction Economy = prediction markets + AI agents + information providers
Look inside Jason Carver’s profile, under “MIT”.

Posted in Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds | Also tagged Center for Collective Intelligence, Jason Carver, MIT CCI, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, MIT Prediction Economy, MIT's Center for Collective Intelligence, MIT's Prediction Economy, Prediction Economy, prediction markets

Meet professor Thomas W. Malone (on the right), from the MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 5, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Photo Credit: Neely Steinberg
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Tom Malone
MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence
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PS: The guy on the computer is Jason Carver.
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Posted in People, Resources - References | Also tagged Center for Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, Jason Carver, Meet professor, MIT CCI, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, MIT's Center for Collective Intelligence, Neely Steinberg, Research, researchers, Thomas Malone, Thomas W. Malone, Tom Malone

Inkling Markets’ Advisory Board… which does not want to tell its name

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 23, 2008 — 1 Comment

Via Daniel Horowitz (Business and Technology Consultant)
Inkling Markets’ Advisory Board (curiously named “Friends Of Inkling”):

Bo Cowgill, Google Inc. — Product developer, expert on decision markets for Google; creator of Google’s prediction market and co-author of Using Prediction Markets to Track Information Flows: Evidence From Google.
George Gendron, Clark University — Founder and director of the Innovation [...]

Posted in Consulting, Exchanges & Markets | Also tagged author, Bob Johansen, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Clark University, co-author, director of the Innovation and Entrepreneurship Program, Editor-in-Chief, Founder and Chairman, Founder and director, Friends Of Inkling, George Gendron, Google Inc, Graduate School, Inkling, inkling markets, Inkling Markets' Advisory Board, innovative game designer, Institute for the Future, Jane McGonigal, Kellogg, Linden Lab, management consultant and professor, Michael Giberson, Northwestern University, PhD, prediction markets, Rawls College of Business, renowned gaming developer, researcher and analyst, Russ Roberts, School of Management, strategy and organization effectiveness consultant and professor, technology consultant, Technology Review, Texas Tech University, TIME MAGAZINE

NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 10, 2008 — 4 Comments

NewsFutures:
Top-10 reasons why NewsFutures is the ideal partner to harness the wisdom of your crowd
1.) Integrated Solutions
We offer complete solutions, not just great software. This approach delivers a much higher success rate and enables the client organization to fully consider Prediction Markets as a key decision-support tool.
From experience, we know that a successful prediction market [...]

Posted in Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, Software | Also tagged Ajit Kambil, appropriate , tool, Arcelor Mittal, associate editor, Brazil, CBS News, CEO, configured hardware, corporate prediction markets, crowds solutions, Davos, De Volkskrant, Deloitte Research, Eli Lilly, Emile Servan-Schreiber, encryption, enterprise prediction markets, Europe, event derivative markets, event derivatives, firewall, Forecasting (Science & Practice), France, Germany, Gobal Director, InterContinental Hotels, internal prediction markets, Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce, James Surowiecki, Japan, Journal of Prediction Markets, key decision-support tool, knowledge aggregation tools, New Jersey, New Zealand, NewsFutures, own , Yahoo! Tech Buzz Game, Paris, Pfizer, pharmaceutical clients, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Industry Association, prediction markets, private prediction markets, productive solutions, quality software, RAND CORPORATION, software for enterprise prediction markets, software for prediction markets, software platform, software tools, Switzerland, technological solutions, Technology Review, The Netherlands, Tim O'Reilly, U.S. military, United Kingdom, United States, Wharton Business School, World Economic Forum, Yahoo!, Yahoo! Tech Buzz Game

The best researchers on prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 4, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CFM: Scholars
Check that CFM page for updates. And contact me so I can make additions to the list. (I’ll then re-publish that updated list on Midas Oracle.)
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Michael Abramowicz – Michael B. Abramowicz – (Law School, George Washington University, Washington, D.C., U.S.A.) — Post Archives at Midas Oracle
Bernd H. Ankenbrand – Bernd Ankenbrand – (Lecturer, Witten/Herdecke [...]

Posted in People, Resources - References | Also tagged Adam, Adam Meirowitz, Administration, American Enterprise Institute, Anderson School, Andrew Leigh, Anita Elberse, Anthony M. Kwasnica, Arizona, Australia, Australian National University, Austria, Becker Center, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd H. Ankenbrand, Bernd Skiera, Bilkent University, British Columbia, Business, C. Schelling, - Thomas Schelling, California, California Institute of Technology, Canada, Centre Nationale, Change, Chapman University, Charles A. Holt, Charles F. Manski, Charles Holt, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chief Economist, Chris Hibbert, Collective Intelligence, College of Arts and Sciences, College of Business, College of Business Administration, College of Management, Connecticut, corporate prediction markets, D. Hamilton, - James Hamilton, D.C., Daniel Reeves, Dartmouth College, David M. Pennock, David Paton, David Porter, dean, Denmark, Department of Computer Science, Department of Economics, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Insurance and Real Estate, Department of Politics, Director, Division of Humanity and Social Sciences, e-commerce, E. Litan, - Robert Litan, Economic Science Institute, Economics Department, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Eric Crampton, Eric W. Zitzewitz, Eric Zitzewitz, Erik Snowberg, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Executive Director, F. Manski, - Charles Manski, Florida, Forrest Nelson, France, Friedrich August Von Hayek, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Gary William Flake, George Mason University, George R. Neumann, George Washington University, Gerhard Ortner, Germany, Goethe University, Google, Graduate School, H. Ankenbrand, - Bernd Ankenbrand, Hal R. Varian, Harvard Business School, Harvard University, Henry B. Tippie College of Business, HP Labs, IIT Center for Financial Markets, Illinois, Illinois Institute of Technology, information aggregation tool, Information Dynamics Lab, Information Services & Process Innovation Lab, internal prediction markets, Iowa, J. Arrow, - Kenneth Arrow, James Annan, James D. Hamilton, James Surowiecki, Japan, John O. Ledyard, Joyce Berg, Joyce E. Berg, Justin J. Wolfers, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kansas City, Kauffman Foundation, Kay-Yut Chen, Keith Gamble, Keith Jacks Gamble, Kellogg, Kenneth J. Arrow, Kentucky, L. Savage, - Sam Savage, Lance Fortnow, Lance J. Fortnow, law school, Lecturer, LEEPS, LEEPS laboratory, Leighton Vaughan-Williams, Leslie R. Fine, London Business School, Los Angeles, M. Kwasnica, - Anthony Kwasnica, M. Todd Henderson, manager, Marco Ottaviani, Martin Spann, Maryland, Massachusetts, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, McCormick School of Engineering, Michael Abramowicz, Michael B. Abramowicz, Michael Gorham, Michael P. Wellman, Michael Wellman, Michigan, Micro-Economic and Social Systems, Microsoft, Missouri, MIT Center, New Jersey, New York, New York City, New Zealand, Nicolas Lambert, North Carolina, Northwestern University, Norwestern University, Nottingham Trent University, Nottingham University, Paris, Paul C. Tetlock, Paul Milgrom, Paul W. Rhode, Penn State University, Pennsylvania, Peter Norman Sorensen, Philip E. Tetlock, Philip Tetlock, prediction markets, Princeton University, Principal Research Scientist, private prediction markets, Professor, professors, R. Varian, - Hal Varian, Rahul Sami, Recherche Scientifique, Reg-Markets Center, Research School of Social Sciences, researchers, Richard Borghesi, Richard Roll, Robert E. Litan, Robert Forsythe, Robert J. Shiller, Robert W. Hahn, Robin D. Hanson, Robin Hanson, Russ Ray, Ryan Oprea, Sam L. Savage, San Diego, San Marcos, Santa Cruz, Sauder School of Business, Saul Levmore, scholars, School of Business, School of Information, School of Management, School of Public Affair, Sciences, Social Computing Lab, software architect, Stanford University, Steve Levitt, Steven D. Levitt, Steven Levitt, Stuart School of Business, technology, Texas, Texas State University, Thomas A. Rietz, Thomas C. Schelling, Thomas Gruca, Thomas S Gruca, Thomas W. Malone, Thomas W. Ross, Todd A. Proebsting, Todd Proebsting, Tom Malone, Tom W. Bell, Tracy Mullen, Turkey, United Kingdom, United States, University of Applied Sciences, University of Arizona, University of British Columbia, University of California at Los Angeles, University of Canterbury, University of Chicago, University of Copenhagen, University of Iowa, University of Kansas, University of Louisville, University of Maryland, University of Michigan, University of North Carolina, University of Passau, University of Pennsylvania, University of South Florida, University of Texas at Austin, University of Virginia, Vancouver, Vernon L. Smith, Vice President for Research and Policy, Virginia, W. Flake - Gary Flake, W. Rhode, - Paul Rhode, W. Ross, - Thomas Ross, Washington, Werner Antweiler, Wharton Business School, Witten, Witten/Herdecke University, Yahoo! Research Labs, Yale University, Zocalo Project Manager

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 1, 2008 — Leave a Comment

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence @ MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, U.S.A. – 2008-05-02
In passing, I say HELLO to our readers from the MIT and the Boston area.
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Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Boston, Cambridge, Center for Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, Massachusetts, MIT's Center for Collective Intelligence, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, United States

After Justin Wolfers and Bo Cowgill last year, Robin Hanson goes lecturing the MIT.

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 20, 2008 — Leave a Comment

CCI Spring 2008 Seminar Series – Featuring Robin Hanson @ MIT Center for Collective Intelligence, MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA – 2008-05-02
Via George Tziralis of Ask Markets

Posted in Events & Meetings | Also tagged Bo Cowgill, Cambridge, Center for Collective Intelligence, Collective Intelligence, George Tziralis, Justin Wolfers, Massachusetts, MIT CCI, MIT Center, prediction markets, Robin Hanson, United States

Collective Prediction – Combining human and machine intelligence in prediction economies

Written by Chris F. Masse on March 10, 2008 — Leave a Comment

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MIT’s CCI:
Think of a domain in which you would like accurate predictions of future events: sales volumes for a company’s products, outcomes of sporting events or military conflicts, crime rates by neighborhood, terrorist actions, new products introduced by a company’s competitors, or the clinical outcomes of different medical treatments someone you know might [...]

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Also tagged Cancer, CCI, Center for Collective Intelligence, collaboration tools, collective prediction, data mining, event derivative markets, event derivatives, machine learning, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, prediction markets

Tag Archives: MIT

They are using prediction markets to forecast what…???…

“Prediction Market Consultant at MIT”

Prediction Economy

Meet professor Thomas W. Malone (on the right), from the MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence.

Inkling Markets’ Advisory Board… which does not want to tell its name

NewsFutures’ hyper marketese on their prediction market consultancy and software package for enterprise prediction markets

Robin Hanson @ MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence

After Justin Wolfers and Bo Cowgill last year, Robin Hanson goes lecturing the MIT.

Collective Prediction – Combining human and machine intelligence in prediction economies

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