Tag Archives: Koleman S. Strumpf

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

Posted on October 26, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Two days ago, I stated brashly that political prediction markets aggregate the polls, mainly. (Mike Linksvayer nuanced my propos, in the comment area.) GOP Keeps Senate, Loses House, Betting Site Says. – [US political prediction markets] – by Ronald Kessler … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, History | Tagged George Gallup, Koch professor, Koch professor of economics, Koleman S. Strumpf, Mike Linksvayer, New York, Paul W. Rhode, professor of economics, Republican Party, Ronald Kessler, Senate, the New York Times, United States, University of Kansas School of Business, Wall Street | Leave a comment

WSJ on the 2004 manipulation of the TradeSports’s Bush contracts.

Posted on October 20, 2006 by Chris F. Masse

Know Who Will Win the Election? You Can Bet on It! – ($$$) – (via JC Kommer and via TradeSports forum) – [political betting & political prediction markets] – by Stephen Moore – 2006-10-20 What about market manipulation? Can wealthy … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Data), Exchanges & Markets, History, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged bank run, Bet, Bush, date, Donald Luskin, Koleman S. Strumpf, North Carolina, Paul W. Rhode, single trader, Stephen Moore, United States, University of North Carolina, Wall Street, wealthy traders, Will Win | Leave a comment

Tag Archives: Koleman S. Strumpf

Faulty polls screw up the political prediction markets. – REDUX – The “no polls” case, now.

WSJ on the 2004 manipulation of the TradeSports’s Bush contracts.

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