Prediction Markets + Market Predictions = Collective Forecasting That Pays Off

Tag Archives: Jason Calacanis

Is Apple becoming evil? — Jason Calacanis vs Guy Kawasaki

External Links: Paul Graham’s criticism of Apple + Phil Schiller Grants Interview About Apple’s App Store, Claims Devs Actually Like Approval Process. + The BusinessWeek interview + iPhone developers are stupid.

User revolt against the de facto monopolies in prediction markets?

InTrade (in the U.S.) and BetFair (in the U.K.) are de facto monopolistic, real-money prediction exchanges. Will those monopolies spur users to revolt? Will we see an open-source movement in prediction markets? That’s the question I asked privately to some of our good friends. The guys admit they don’t have the first clue, but are [...]

Michael Weiss of Gawker is misinformed about the wisdom of crowds.

His Jason Calacanis-inspired critique of The Wisdom Of Crowds is an abyssal nullity.
James Surowiecki is a great thinker, and the principles behind the wisdom of crowds are effective. (see point #3.)
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The Most Important Discussion On Marketing I Followed This Early Morning

Michael Giberson and Robin Hanson are fond of Inkling Markets’ Godfather, Paul Graham. I am not. I am more interested in Robert Scoble, Loic Le Meur, and Jason Calacanis. With other bloggers, they started a discussion on modern-days public relations.
Here are the good points they made, along with my associated thoughts:
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Loic Le Meur:

A very good [...]

Whose side are you on?

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Michael Arrington refers to this blog post, which I have already linked to.
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I’m rather in the Mike Arrington camp, but I’m not necessarily proud of it. (Ducan Riley would tell me to “get fu****“. )
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I would be interested to have Adam Siegel or David Perry’s opinion on all that. Or Mat Fogarty… Or [...]

Digital Wrist Slapping

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Explainer: Michael Arrington is Ducan Riley’s boss —and Michael Arrington’s post (which prompted the 2 comments you see above) happened to contradict Ducan Riley’s previous take on the issue. (See Robert Scoble’s take, for more info on the general issue, if you need. More by the same Scobble. See also Fred Wilson. And Ducan Riley. [...]

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