Tag Archives: Internet searches

Do give the Nobel prize to Yahoo! research scientist David Pennock. — Santo Subito! [*]

Posted on November 14, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

He and his co-authors were the first to publish about the fact that flu-related searches on the Web are precise predictors of the upcoming influenza outbreaks. Congrats. Best wishes for the rest of their scientific career. [*] “Make him a … Continue reading →

Posted in Forecasting (Science & Practice), Science, The Internet | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Predict Google’s market share (extracting early information from primary sources), and become rich —maybe (or maybe not).

Posted on February 2, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

As I said previously, I’m in favor of listing the URLs of the advanced indicators on the prediction market pages. Prediction markets with better advanced indicators (as it is the case in political elections and finance) should be proven to … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Leading & Lagging Indicators, Market Liquidity, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Search engine futures!

Posted on January 25, 2008 by David Pennock

Cross posted from Oddhead Blog. I am happy to report that on my suggestion intrade has listed futures contracts for 2008 search engine market share. Here is how they work: A contract will expire according to the percentage share of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Guest Authors's Posts, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 17 Comments