Tag Archives: internal prediction markets

Dawn Tevekelian Keller wants to convince your boss to adopt enterprise prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on July 4, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Dawn Tevekelian Keller (formerly at Best Buy) does not write for Robin Hanson et al.:
This blog is not geared toward the existing Prediction Market intelligentsia. While I would be honored to have fellow enthusiasts read and critique this blog, I’m not writing this for them, specifically.
I’m writing for a general business audience, decision makers in [...]

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Case Studies, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Information Aggregation | Also tagged Best Buy, business cases, case studies, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence that predicts, corporate prediction markets. private prediction markets, Dawn Keller, Dawn Tevekelian Keller, enterprise prediction markets, information aggregation, prediction markets

CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 25, 2009 — 3 Comments

The fine people at CrowdCast (Mat Fogarty and Leslie Fine) are finally out today with their brand-new, no-trading, collective forecasting mechanism. The purpose is to aggregate information across one organization so as to generate the most objective business forecasts. The readers of Midas Oracle are well aware of the (relative) performance of the prediction markets [...]

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Information Aggregation, Mechanism Designs, Software | Also tagged Betting, Collective Forecasting, collective intelligence mechanisms, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, employee intelligence, enterprise intelligence, enterprise prediction markets, forecasting, information aggregation, information aggregation mechanisms, Leslie Fine, market designs, Market Scoring Rules, Mechanism Designs, MSR, polling, prediction markets, private prediction markets, trading, Xpree

Go trading enterprise prediction markets… if you want to meet the boss.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 11, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Adam Siegel:
One incentive that doesn’t get much attention is granting “exclusive access” to traders. The most successful format we’ve seen of this is picking those who are regularly participating in the marketplace, i.e. “20 random traders with 20 or more trades” and inviting them to a roundtable with a (very) senior executive on a monthly [...]

Posted in Business, Case Studies, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, Information Aggregation, Psychology | Also tagged corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, exclusive access, inkling markets, private prediction markets

Social networking tool Spigit goes enteprise prediction markets.

Written by Chris F. Masse on June 2, 2009 — Leave a Comment

Spigit
Read & Write Web
Twitter

Hearthis post

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Information Aggregation, Software | Also tagged corporate prediction markets, enteprise prediction markets, Prediction Market Software, private prediction markets, social networking tools, Software, software for prediction markets, Spigit

Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 25, 2009 — 2 Comments

If you have been a feed subscriber of Midas Oracle for a long time (we started in 2006 here, and in 2003 for CFM), you know that I act as a gadfly. But there is a reason for that. If I were a simple stenographer, re-publishing press releases (and making friends with the prediction market [...]

Posted in Consulting, Prediction Market Journalism, Traditional Forecasting | Also tagged Collective Intelligence, collective intelligence solutions, corporate prediction markets, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Information Aggregation, NewsFutures, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, software for prediction markets, Traditional Forecasting, wisdom of crowds

NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 22, 2009 — 2 Comments

I am happy to run Emile Servan-Schreiber’s correction (well, correcting me ) on the fact that NewsFutures still provides EPM SaaS, since I love NewsFutures’s CDA technology as much as Chris Hibbert does. However, I maintain that providers of collective intelligence solutions for companies are turning their back to the trading technology, from [...]

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Case Studies, Collective Intelligence, Consulting, Information Aggregation, Software | Also tagged Collective Intelligence, collective intelligence solutions, corporate prediction markets, Emile Servan-Schreiber, enterprise prediction markets, Information Aggregation, NewsFutures, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, software for prediction markets, Traditional Forecasting, wisdom of crowds

Should you be bullish on enterprise prediction markets?

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 22, 2009 — 8 Comments

Robin Hanson:
There is now a prediction market industry, where I do a lot of consulting, most of which is to private companies. Most of these are on prediction markets, but some are decision markets.
What Robin Hanson does not say to his gullible readers (mostly, young collegians who have no experience of real-life forecasting) is that:

When [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, Information Aggregation, Traditional Forecasting | Also tagged Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, CrowdCast, decision-aid markets, enterprise prediction markets, Information Aggregation, Inkling, inkling markets, NewsFutures, prediction market industry, prediction markets, private prediction markets, Robin Hanson, Traditional Forecasting, wisdom of crowds

Are prediction markets useful to our global civilization?

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 13, 2009 — 5 Comments

Announcement from the Prediction Markets group at LinkedIn:
Hello dear members,
We all love prediction markets. We are [286] on this group. Please, do forward this e-mail to one or two of your friends who love the prediction markets, so they can join us.
http://www.linkedin.com/e/gis/152133
The issues that are up in the air, these days:
- Are prediction markets really [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Midas Oracle Administration, Resources & References, Traditional Forecasting | Also tagged accuracy, bet markets, betting markets, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, LinkedIn group on Prediction Markets, Midas Oracle, predicting, prediction markets, Prediction Markets group at LinkedIn, Predictions, private prediction markets, Traditional Forecasting

Enterprise prediction markets have no benefits for businesses.

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 5, 2009 — 6 Comments

Paul Hewitt:
My review of the literature and case studies (that have been published) indicates that prediction markets have improved the accuracy of forecasts, but the improvements have not been great enough to encourage widespread (or even minimal) acceptance. Furthermore, these studies like to average their results over a number of markets, disguising the fact that [...]

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Analysis (Meta), Case Studies, Collective Intelligence, Exchanges & Markets, Traditional Forecasting | Also tagged businesses, Consensus, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, opinions, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions, private prediction markets, public prediction markets, Traditional Forecasting

TOTAL DESTRUCTION

Written by Chris F. Masse on May 5, 2009 — 11 Comments

Paul Hewitt asses a research paper by the Iowa Electronic Markets scholars… and what’s left is just a little stack of ashes.

Hearthis post

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Traditional Forecasting | Also tagged Consensus, corporate prediction markets, enterprise prediction markets, opinions, prediction markets, private prediction markets, public prediction markets

Tag Archives: internal prediction markets

Dawn Tevekelian Keller wants to convince your boss to adopt enterprise prediction markets.

CrowdCast = Collective Forecasting = Collective Intelligence That Predicts

Go trading enterprise prediction markets… if you want to meet the boss.

Why reporting stuff about prediction markets means bugging the prediction market people till they spit the truth finally

NewsFutures’s software and consulting on enterprise prediction markets

Should you be bullish on enterprise prediction markets?

Are prediction markets useful to our global civilization?

Enterprise prediction markets have no benefits for businesses.

TOTAL DESTRUCTION

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