IBM Smarter Cities prediction mechanisms 20 prediction lines Only one socially generated prediction is over 50%. UPDATE: The first version of this post used the term “prediction markets”, because that is how Spigit brands these mechanisms, but, on a closer … Continue reading →

Posted in Collective Forecasting | Tagged betting markets, Collective Forecasting, collective predictions, event derivative markets, IBM, IBM Smarter Cities, IBM Smarter Cities prediction markets, prediction markets, Predictions, social forecasting, social predictions, Spigit | 39 Comments

IBM = a bunch of idiots

Posted on June 2, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

They license this video with Creative Commons ["CC" is for closed caption], and they don’t allow me to embed it in my blog. And when I click on an external web link on their site, I am treated with a … Continue reading →

Posted in Finance | Tagged Finance, IBM, Smarter Planet | 2 Comments

Enterprise Prediction Markets = The wisdom of crowds comes to the enterprise.

Posted on October 29, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Here are short excerpts of the Forrester report on enterprise prediction markets and companies that provide software for enterprise prediction markets. – The Forrester executive summary: The “wisdom of crowds” is capturing the attention of corporate strategists across the globe, … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Cases, Collective Intelligence - Wisdom Of Crowds, Consulting, Exchanges & Markets, Explainers | Tagged A. Huberman - Bernardo Huberman, Adam, Adam Siegel, Alberta, Bernardo A. Huberman, Bernd Ankenbrand, Boston Consulting Group, Calgary, California, Canada, Center for Energy Commerce, CEO, Charles R. Plott, Chicago, Chris Hibbert, Client Resource Center, Collective Intelligence, corporate prediction markets, David Perry, David Shahar, Director, EDS, Elad Amir, Emile Servan-Schreiber, ENERGY ECONOMIST, energy policy, enterprise prediction markets, Exago, Forrester, France, George Mason University, George Tziralis, Germany, Google, Greece, Hollywood Stock Exchange, HP Services & HP Labs, IBM, Illinois, Information Dynamics Lab, IntelliMarket Systems, internal prediction markets, Israel, Justin Wolfers, Kansas, Kay-Yut Chen, Ken Kittlitz, KPMG, L.A., Littal Shemer Haim, Maryland, Maurice Balick, Michael Giberson, Microsoft, Nashville, Nathan Kontny, Noam Danon, Oliver Bernhard Pedersen, Paris, Pedro Da Cunha, Pennsylvania, Peter Gollowitsch, Portugal, prediction market consultants, Prediction Market Software, prediction markets, private prediction markets, R. Plott - Charles Plott, Rawls College of Business, Robin Hanson, Software architect / Zocalo project manager, software for prediction markets, Tennessee, Texas, Texas Tech University, United States, University of Kansas, University of Pennsylvania's Wharton Business School, Virginia, Virtual Specialist, VP Business development, VP R&D, wisdom of crowds, Yahoo! | 2 Comments

Prediction Markets vs. Bookmakers — The Ultimate Argument

Posted on January 16, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Las Vegas Sun: â€œThe bookieâ€™s odds will be influenced by his appetite for risk, the action heâ€™s got on his side and his own bias,â€ said John Delaney, chief executive officer of Dublin-based Intrade.com, the worldâ€™s largest prediction market. â€œIf … Continue reading →

Posted in Analysis (Meta), Finance | Tagged bookmakers, broker, Chief Executive Officer, Dublin, event derivative markets, event derivatives, IBM, InTrade, InTrade.com, John Delaney, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Which big consultancy firms will evangelize our enterprise prediction markets?

Posted on November 13, 2007 by Chris F. Masse

I put them in bold… — McKinsey – (U.S.A.) Google Search for “prediction markets” Accenture – (U.S.A.) Google Search for “prediction markets” Gartner – (U.S.A.) Google Search for “prediction markets” CapGemini – (U.S.A.) Google Search for “prediction markets” KPMG – … Continue reading →

Posted in Consulting | Tagged A. Huberman - Bernardo Huberman, Bernardo A. Huberman, California, consultancy firms, consultants, corporate prediction markets, Director, enterprise prediction markets, Google, HP Labs, IBM, Information Dynamics Lab, internal prediction markets, Kay-Yut Chen, KPMG, prediction markets, private prediction markets, United States | Leave a comment

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