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- Steven Krivit continues to trash Andrea Rossi and his LENR technology. — [LINK]
- Interview with Adam Lashinsky — [VIDEO]
- Why some people are more innovative — [VIDEO]
- Forbes editor deciphers Steve Jobs’s Apple. — [VIDEO]
- Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]
- Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]
- Global warming is a big scam. — [LINK]
- A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors — [VIDEO]
- The Tragedy of the Commons — [VIDEO]
- Guy Kawasaki on Steve Jobs — [VIDEO]
- Inside Apple — [VIDEO]
- Mitt Romney’s taxes — [LINKS]
- A critique of Apple’s multimedia iBooks. — [LINK]
- Does Apple lack “generosity”? — [LINKS]
- Apple Education Push — [LINKS]
- Water Crystals — [DOCUMENT]
- Apple’s e-book software will allow publishers to make textbooks more interactive. — [LINKS + VIDEO]
- Alain Soral is France’s most dangerous intellectual… (dangerous for the French plutocrats, that is). — [VIDEO]
- Computers thru time — [CHART]
- NASA has finally understood the theorical basis of LENR (low-energy nuclear reactions). — [VIDEO]
Tag Archives: Hal Finney
One Robin Hanson fanboy admits that prediction markets, by essence, can’t foretell meta disasters implicating the destruction of all world-wide prediction markets themselves.
Hal Finney on the probability of the Large Hadron Collider destroying the universe: Unfortunately this is one kind of question where an Idea Futures market would not work too well, because people who correctly bet that the reactor will destroy … Continue reading
Posted in Humor
Tagged event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hal Finney, Humor, Large Hadron Collider, prediction markets, Robin Hanson
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2008 US Electoral Map Prediction
- US ELECTORAL MAP: Prediction Markets for the 2008 Electoral College ElectoralMarkets.com – - Via Read & Write Web 2008 Electoral Map (based on InTade) + 2008 Electoral Map (based on polls) – UPDATE: Hal Finney – See our PREDICTIONS … Continue reading
Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice), Market Prices & Probabilities
Tagged 2008 Electoral Map, CNN, David Pennock, electoral college, electoral map, electoral markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, Hal Finney, InTrade, Iowa, Lance Fortnow, map, Political Party, polls, prediction markets, President, Robin Hanson, U.S. House of Representatives, United States, United States Senate, US electoral college, USD, web links, Will Be Democratic, Winning Party, Yahoo!, Yiling Chen
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Robin Hanson made a career telling people he is “not a joiner”, but where the hell can you spot his true beliefs in Bob’s petitions?
Robin Hanson at LinkedIn – Robin Hanson: [...] I have a passion, a sacred quest, to understand everything, and to save the world. I am addicted to “viewquakes”, insights which dramatically change my world view. I loved science fiction as … Continue reading
A historical Robin Hanson fanboy can’t believe his hero signed Bob’s ill-informed and unwise petition.
Hal Finney: My concern is that the small stakes limit of $2,000, the limits on who can operate markets, and the limitations on the scope of markets, will lead to spotty coverage which will preclude a robust evaluation of the … Continue reading
Predictor Accuracy: the Hedgehog vs. the Fox
— Ellen Goodman: [...] The closed-minded hedgehogs are those who know ”one big thing” and relate everything to that single, central vision. The open-minded foxes ”know many little things” and accept ambiguity and contradictions. [...] It’s no surprise that foxes … Continue reading
The “Remark” Of The Day
You will notice that the rationality luminary (or so Robin Hanson thinks he is) Hal Finney only talks about the bright side of the prediction markets, never about their dark side (the expiry problems and the controversies that go with … Continue reading
Anonymity is important for employees trading on internal prediction markets.
About A 1990 Corporate Prediction Market. Comments at Overcoming Bias: HAL FINNEY: What do you think about the fact that Xanadu employees put their probability of success as high as 70%? This product is somewhat legendary today for its repeated … Continue reading
Who the hell is Hal Finney???
The guy blogs like crazy at Overcoming Errors dot com (where the main error is to let him publish a long post that does not contain either a summary or emphasized sentences), but we will never get to see his … Continue reading
Posted in Internet Marketing - Internet Commerce
Tagged family web pages, Hal Finney
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