Tag Archives: event futures

InTrade is not predictive, says notable financial journalist. — [SCREENSHOT]

Posted on January 4, 2012 by Chris F. Masse

For info, here’s the Midas Oracle feed at Twitter. I publish there plenty of prediction market news that don’t appear on this blog.

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Forecasting (Science & Practice) | Tagged betting markets, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, forecasting, forecasts, futures, Henry Blodget, InTrade, predicting, prediction markets, Predictions | 1 Comment

Ex-HSX Max Keiser disses real-money prediction markets (again). — [VIDEO]

Posted on December 28, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Analysis (Industry), Analysis (Meta), Ethics, Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged America, bets, Betting, betting markets, Cantor, Cantor Fitzgerald, derivatives, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, futures, Gambling, gaming, HSX, laws, Meet Max Keiser, prediction markets, Regulations, United States Of America | Leave a comment

Legality of real-money prediction markets in America — [LINKS]

Posted on December 27, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

#1. CFTC’s Bart Chilton says ‘no’. – #2. DOJ says ‘yes’, other than for sports and horse racing.

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Regulations | Tagged America, bets, Betting, betting markets, CFTC, derivatives, DOJ, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, events, futures, Gambling, gaming, laws, prediction markets, Regulations, United States Of America, US CFTC, US DOJ | 1 Comment

CrowdPark = social betting – [VIDEO]

Posted on January 24, 2011 by Chris F. Masse

The CrowdPark team have tested their social betting model in Germany, and they are now opening an office in San Francisco to boost their US expansion. You can bet with a virtual currency, and their business model is to monetize … Continue reading →

Posted in Betting, Collective Forecasting, Exchange Genesis, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged Betting, betting markets, Collective Forecasting, Collective Intelligence, CrowdPark, event derivative markets, event futures, Martin Frindt, play-money betting, play-money prediction markets, prediction markets, social betting | Leave a comment

Environmental Futures

Posted on November 25, 2009 by Chris F. Masse

Environmental Futures – by Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures

Posted in Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets | Tagged climate change, Collective Forecasting, event derivatives, event futures, global warming, NewsFutures, prediction markets | Leave a comment

Jason Ruspini will answer SOME of these CFTC questions. — 12 days left, Jason.

Posted on June 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

CFTC – (PDF file): CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts – V. Issues for Comment A. Request for Comment The following questions consider the Commission’s regulatory purview over event contracts, the interests that may appropriately … Continue reading →

Posted in Regulations | Tagged American Enterprise Institute, bet markets, betting markets, binary options, CFTC, commodity futures, commodity futures contracts, commodity options, commodity options contracts, definitions, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, event markets, Explainers, futures contracts, futures markets, Jason Ruspini, Porter, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, retail customers, retail market participants, retail users, Tom W. Bell, Trader, United States Of America, Vernon Smith | 5 Comments

CME’s Economic Event Futures

Posted on June 25, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Short, factual only, but very interesting article from David Goodboy. … on speculating and hedging directly on Non-Farm Payroll reports. -

Posted in Exchanges & Markets, Finance | Tagged Chicago Mercantile Exchange, CME, David Goodboy, Economic Event Futures, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, Non-Farm Payroll Reports | Leave a comment

The lawyerly questions that the CFTC are asking to Tom W. Bell

Posted on June 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Posted in Regulations | Tagged bet markets, betting markets, binary options, CFTC, commodity futures, commodity futures contracts, commodity options, commodity options contracts, definitions, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, event markets, Explainers, futures contracts, futures markets, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, retail customers, retail market participants, retail users, Tom W. Bell, Trader | 8 Comments

How the CFTC is going to rule on the legality of “event markets”

Posted on June 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

Psstt… Wanna know in advance what the CFTC is going to decide about “event markets”?… Simple… Read closely their “concept release”… You can spot the seeding of their future ruling… – CFTC – (PDF file): CFTC’s Concept Release on the … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Regulations | Tagged bet markets, betting markets, binary options, CFTC, commodity futures, commodity futures contracts, commodity options, commodity options contracts, Congress, definitions, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, event markets, Explainers, futures contracts, futures markets, InTrade, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets | 16 Comments

How the CFTC try to define our prediction markets

Posted on June 18, 2008 by Chris F. Masse

CFTC – (PDF file): CFTC’s Concept Release on the Appropriate Regulatory Treatment of Event Contracts – II. Commodity Options and Futures and the Attributes of Event Contracts The Commission, with some exceptions, has exclusive jurisdiction over two relevant types of … Continue reading →

Posted in All Best Posts Ever, Analysis (Meta), Exchanges & Markets, Explainers, Finance | Tagged bet markets, betting markets, binary options, catastrophe single event insurance option contracts, CFTC, Chicago Board Of Trade, commodity futures, commodity futures contracts, commodity options, commodity options contracts, definitions, event contracts, event derivative markets, event derivatives, event futures, event markets, Explainers, futures contracts, futures markets, InTrade, particular candidate for political office, particular presidential candidate, prediction markets, real-money prediction markets, specific farmer, United States, USD | 19 Comments

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