Tag Archives: Eric Zitzewitz

Jason Ruspini rebuts Eric Zitzewitz on the regulation of political prediction markets. — [COMMENT]

Did Eric Zitzewitz read Dodd-Frank? Jason Ruspini: Unfortunately, election contracts and ALL event contracts appear to be prohibited by CFTC regulation 40.11, released in July 2011 as part of Dodd-Frank: “(a) Prohibition. A registered entity shall not list for trading … Continue reading

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Eric Zitzewitz petitions the CFTC in favor of real-money prediction markets about politics. — [TEXT]

Eric Zitzewitz: We are academic researchers who study prediction markets. We are writing in favor of allowing NADEX, or a similar entity, to offer a broad range of political and policy event futures, including the three they are currently proposing. … Continue reading

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Wanna know what Eric Zitzewitz thinks of Michael Abramowitz’s Predictocracy?

To read Eric Zitzewitz’s review of Michael Abramowitz’s Predictocracy, you need to go behind a wall. Totally absurd. Book reviews are typically the kind of information that should be free and easily accessible —HTML style. Previously: Is weather betting legal … Continue reading

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The Financial Meltdown: Causes, Consequences, and Options

The banking, financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009 Spot Eric Zitzewitz: Previously: Is weather betting legal if you bundle it with auto leasing?

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Is weather betting legal if you bundle it with auto leasing?

Pride Motors, a Boston area car dealer, is advertising the following special: Lease a car before August 26, and if it’s above 96 degrees at Boston Logan Airport on Labor Day, they will make your first 12 lease payments for … Continue reading

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Why did Brad DeLong pick on our Eric Zitzewitz?

Jason Ruspini: It seemed like Delong interpreted the mere suggestion of 10% interest rates as a veiled attack on the Obama administration. That would explain the unfairly harsh and pedantic manner of his post. I think that Delong is right … Continue reading

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Eric Zitzewitz wanna bet with Brad DeLong.

Brad DeLong bended Eric Zitzewitz’s ear, and now our Dartmouth padawan wants a bet: Brad, The post you refer to is a follow up post to a post in March that does a similar analysis about the S&P 500. http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/02/quantifying-the-nightmare-scenarios/ … Continue reading

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Prediction Markets in India

Eric Zitzewitz (in the November 2008 edition of The Analyst, an Indian publication for financial analysts): I think the CFTC is likely to define a set of limits which, if followed, will subject a prediction [exchange] to CFTC regulation which … Continue reading

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Is InTrade being manipulated? Why does InTrade give a discounted probability for Barack Obama as US president?

A quick link panorama. – #1. Is InTrade being manipulated? – Nate Silver shows that there are abrupt downward pressures on the Barack Obama event derivative, while we also see some abrupt upward pressures on the Hillary Clinton event derivative. … Continue reading

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What InTrade CEO John Delaney told the CFTC about “event markets” (prediction markets)

John Delaney (CEO of InTrade) – (InTrade PDF file – CFTC PDF file): July 4th 2008 The Commodity Futures Trading Commission Three Lafayette Centre 1155 21st Street NW Washington, DC 20581 U.S.A. Attention: Office of the Secretariat RE: “Concept Release … Continue reading

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