Tag Archives: economic science

Money does not motivate humans… – [VIDEO]

Higher incentives lead to worse performances: For cognitive tasks: AUTONOMY + MASTERY + PURPOSE.

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Chief Economists = PR People

“This is why economists are always on TV and not in boardrooms.”

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Nobel Prize for Economics 2009 — Prediction Accuracy

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has decided to award The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel for 2009 to Elinor Ostrom “for her analysis of economic governance, especially the commons” and Oliver E. Williamson … Continue reading

Posted in Analysis (Accuracy & Precision), Exchanges & Markets, Market Expiry, Market Prices & Probabilities | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 18 Comments

Nobel Prize for Economics 2009 Predictions

The 2009 Nobel prize for economics (2009 Sveriges Riksbank prize in economic sciences) will be awarded on Monday, October 12, 2009. 1. Bookmakers Ladbrokes’s probabilities (odds) for the 2009 Nobel prize in economics: Eugene Fama 2/1 Paul Romer 4/1 Ernst … Continue reading

Posted in Betting, Collective Forecasting, Economics, Exchanges & Markets, Market Prices & Probabilities, Predictions - Forecasts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Robin Hanson: My best idea was prediction markets.

Robin Hanson‘s auto-biography (i.e., how Our Master Of All Universes views HimSelf): – Robin Hanson: Do you find it hard to summarize yourself in a few words? Me too. But I love the above quote. I have a passion, a … Continue reading

Posted in Collective Decision Making, Collective Forecasting, Exchanges & Markets, History, People | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Are prediction markets really useful to *you*?

An open letter to Prof Panos about Midas Oracle: My Dear Honorable Prof Panos, I am no “stupid“. As I stated, Midas Oracle will publish both the good and the bad about prediction markets. The scientific view is indeed that … Continue reading

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The Nobel committee reads Midas Oracle.

Less than one month after I told the world that Paul Krugman is the best read when it comes to the credit, financial and economic crisis… they give him the Nobel prize in economic science. P.S.: Politically, I am not … Continue reading

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Is Justin Wolfers part of the open-science movement?

Boston.com At times, Justin Wolfers posts raw data on Freakonomics to tease the other economic researchers.

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