Tag Archives: decision making
Why we should ban PowerPoint from our prediction market conferences
“PowerPoint has clearly decreased the quality of the information provided to the decision-maker, but the damage doesn’t end there. It has also changed the culture of decision-making.“
Hunch = Collective intelligence tool for decision-making
Hunch
Powered by MIT ideas — Much more useful than Robin Hanson’s decision-aid markets.
Great usability. I registered and tested it. They are onto something. Besides NetFlix, have you ever heard of other collective intelligence tool of this kind? Leave the URLs in the comments.
Institutional Decision Analysis
Institutional Decision Analysis – a concept by Andrew Gelman
The term “decision analysis” has multiple meanings in Bayesian statistics. When we use the term here, we are not talking about problems of parameter estimation, squared error loss, etc. Rather, we use “decision analysis” to refer to the solution of particular decision problems (such as in medicine, [...]
Why EPM consulting is still a pretty evangelical business.
Emile Servan-Schreiber of NewsFutures (responding to Paul Hewitt):
[...] The hard part, the real hurdles to acceptance are (i) to get wide and consistent participation, (ii) to overcome the suspicion of decision makers who naturally don’t like to be second-guessed by subordinates, (iii) to get the organization to agree to ask important questions instead of trivial [...]
Do you have what it takes to run the CIA?
Former CIA Deputy Director John McLaughlin:
Other qualities [= other than experience in the Intelligence Community] are capacity to make decisions when there are no easy options and to take responsibility for them, situational awareness about the secondary and tertiary consequences of those decisions, good judgment about what is right, true, or advisable when presented with [...]
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